Sport Picks

Stadium Background

South Sudan U20 vs Congo U20

Africa Africa

Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Sub
Sarfino N. In: Kenyi A.
Out: Sarfino N.
45' Event
Bassinga D.
Assist: Diambomba-Mouandza D.
46'
Sub
Manouana B. In: Saikou D.
Out: Manouana B.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Congo U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
South Sudan U20
15%
Draws
51%
Congo U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Congo U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Congo U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives South Sudan U20 a 34% chance of winning this.
  • Congo U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Congo U20, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
South Sudan U20 Clean Sheet 68%
Congo U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric South Sudan U20 Congo U20
Matches Played 22 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 5 10
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 0.95 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2023 Africa Cup of Nations U20
South Sudan U20 vs Congo U20
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Sudan U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Jawa P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Congo U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bassinga D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Sudan U20 77 / 100
Congo U20 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
South Sudan U20 Congo U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick South Sudan U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Congo U20 has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Congo U20 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

South Sudan U20 scored in 50% of their last 22 games.

Scoring Trends

South Sudan U20 VS Congo U20
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

South Sudan U20

(Home)
11 Oct
Uganda U20
2 : 2
South Sudan U20
09 Oct
South Sudan U20
2 : 1
Ethiopia U20
07 Oct
South Sudan U20
0 : 1
Burundi U20
15 Mar
Uganda U20
1 : 0
South Sudan U20
11 Mar
Nigeria U20
1 : 0
South Sudan U20
Page 1 of 5

Congo U20

(Away)
13 Jun
Panama U20
0 : 1
Congo U20
10 Jun
Mexico U20
3 : 4
Congo U20
07 Jun
Denmark U20
2 : 0
Congo U20
04 Jun
Congo U20
0 : 2
Japan U20
22 Mar
Senegal U20
2 : 0
Congo U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Senegal U20 3 3 0 0 8:0 9
2 Nigeria U20 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
3 Egypt U20 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
4 Mozambique U20 3 0 1 2 0:5 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Congo U20 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
2 Uganda U20 3 1 2 0 4:3 5
3 South Sudan U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
4 Central Africa U20 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gambia U20 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Tunisia U20 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
3 Benin U20 3 0 2 1 1:2 2
4 Zambia U20 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
Promotion - Africa Cup of Nations U20 2023 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams