Sport Picks

South Sudan vs Uganda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Juba Stadium, Juba

South Sudan

1 - 2

Uganda

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Omedi D.

Assist: Okello A.

21'

Juma Y.

Assist: Leku A.

46'

Sub

Geriga A. In: Laku B.

Out: Geriga A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Uganda in this Africa Cup of Nations 2025 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%

South Sudan

20%

Draws

58%

Uganda

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uganda

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Uganda lately — more wins on the board than South Sudan.
58% — that's where the model lands on Uganda taking it.
Uganda arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Uganda, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 65%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%

South Sudan Clean Sheet 21%

Uganda Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	South Sudan	Uganda
Matches Played	28	26
Wins	5	12
Draws	8	5
Losses	15	9
Goals Scored	0.82	1.31
Goals Conceded	1.68	1.27
Expected Goals (xG)	1.17	1.15
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 15, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

South Sudan vs Uganda

1:2

Oct 11, 2024 Africa Cup of Nations

Uganda vs South Sudan

1:0

Nov 16, 2020 Africa Cup of Nations

South Sudan vs Uganda

1:0

Nov 12, 2020 Africa Cup of Nations

Uganda vs South Sudan

1:0

Aug 2, 2019 African Nations Championship

Uganda vs South Sudan

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

South Sudan Compare

Top Goalscorer Juma Y.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.9

Avg xA / game 0.58

Uganda Compare

Top Goalscorer Omedi D.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.05

Avg xA / game 0.64

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

South Sudan 16 / 100

Uganda 77 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

South Sudan Uganda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uganda Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uganda let in goals in 65% of their last 26 matches.

Attacking prowess: South Sudan scored in 50% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.20 goals when they meet.

South Sudan went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

South Sudan VS Uganda

0.83 Goals Scored 0.63

1.67 Goals Conceded 1.5

67% Over 1.5 63%

50% Over 2.5 50%

33% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

South Sudan

(Home)

29 Sept

South Sudan

0 : 5

Egypt

25 Sept

Malawi

2 : 1

South Sudan

29 Mar

South Sudan

0 : 1

Djibouti

26 Mar

Djibouti

0 : 4

South Sudan

25 Nov

Syria

2 : 0

South Sudan

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Uganda

(Away)

05 Oct

Uganda

1 : 1

D.R. Congo

02 Oct

D.R. Congo

0 : 2

Uganda

29 Sept

Uganda

1 : 0

Libya

24 Sept

Tunisia

1 : 1

Uganda

30 Dec

Uganda

1 : 3

Nigeria

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