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Southampton FC W vs Charlton W

England England

Women's League Cup St. Mary's Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

30'
Bourne T.
45'
Palmer A.
46'
Sub
Palmer A. In: McAloine M.
Out: Palmer A.

AI Match Summary

The Women's League Cup game between Southampton FC W and Charlton W finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Charlton W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Southampton FC W
6%
Draws
4%
Charlton W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Southampton FC W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Charlton W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Southampton FC W taking it.
  • Knockout football tends to sharpen focus — no second leg to fall back on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Southampton FC W Clean Sheet 18%
Charlton W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southampton FC W Charlton W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 13 19
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.88 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 WSL 2
Southampton FC W vs Charlton W
2:2
Nov 23, 2025 Women's League Cup
Southampton FC W vs Charlton W
1:2
Nov 9, 2025 WSL 2
Charlton W vs Southampton FC W
2:1
May 4, 2025 WSL 2
Southampton FC W vs Charlton W
0:2
Nov 3, 2024 WSL 2
Charlton W vs Southampton FC W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southampton FC W Compare

Top Goalscorer Brazil E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Charlton W Compare

Top Goalscorer Newsham C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thestrup A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southampton FC W 85 / 100
Charlton W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southampton FC W Charlton W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southampton FC W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Southampton FC W scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Charlton W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Southampton FC W VS Charlton W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Manchester City W33008:48
2Everton W32015:55
3Nottingham W31023:44
4Newcastle Utd W30035:81
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Liverpool W330011:29
2Sheffield Utd W32013:55
3Durham W30033:42
4Sunderland W31021:72
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1West Ham W430112:49
2Charlton W43017:69
3Brighton W42026:36
4Portsmouth W41032:63
5Southampton FC W41032:103
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Crystal Palace W32017:46
2Leicester W32016:46
3London City Lionesses W32014:26
4Ipswich W30033:100
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tottenham W33004:08
2Aston Villa W31026:35
3Birmingham W32015:84
4Bristol City W30032:61