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Southampton U21 vs RB Leipzig II

Europe Europe

Premier League International Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Ngatcheu Y.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Ngatcheu Y.
66' Event
Ngatcheu Y.
Assist: Konate S.

AI Match Summary

RB Leipzig II in this Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 0-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Southampton U21
20%
Draws
33%
RB Leipzig II
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Southampton U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • RB Leipzig II have won more games recently than Southampton U21.
  • Southampton U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • RB Leipzig II arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor RB Leipzig II, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81%
Southampton U21 Clean Sheet 10%
RB Leipzig II Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southampton U21 RB Leipzig II
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.58 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 3, 2026 Premier League International Cup
Southampton U21 vs RB Leipzig II
0:3
Oct 29, 2024 Premier League International Cup
Southampton U21 vs RB Leipzig II
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southampton U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

RB Leipzig II Compare

Top Goalscorer Ngatcheu Y.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southampton U21 83 / 100
RB Leipzig II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southampton U21 RB Leipzig II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Southampton U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Southampton U21 scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: RB Leipzig II conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Southampton U21 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Southampton U21 VS RB Leipzig II
1.38 Goals Scored 3
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Southampton U21

(Home)
18 Sept
Wolves U21
0 : 2
Southampton U21
12 Sept
Southampton U21
3 : 1
Bournemouth U21
08 Sept
Woking
4 : 1
Southampton U21
04 Sept
Bolton U21
1 : 1
Southampton U21
28 Aug
Everton U21
1 : 2
Southampton U21
Page 1 of 7

RB Leipzig II

(Away)
03 Feb
Southampton U21
0 : 3
RB Leipzig II
20 Jan
Everton U21
5 : 1
RB Leipzig II
14 Jan
Manchester City U21
3 : 1
RB Leipzig II
29 Sept
Wolves U21
1 : 1
RB Leipzig II
17 Jan
Crystal Palace U21
1 : 2
RB Leipzig II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Everton U21 4 3 0 1 10:6 9
2 Real Madrid U21 4 2 2 0 5:2 8
3 Wolves U21 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
4 Monaco II 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
5 Manchester City U21 4 1 2 1 7:7 5
6 Jong PSV 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
7 RB Leipzig II 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
8 Southampton U21 4 0 1 3 2:9 1
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Crystal Palace U21 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
2 Valencia B 4 3 0 1 8:5 9
3 B. Monchengladbach II 4 3 0 1 8:6 9
4 Nordsjaelland U21 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
5 Fulham U21 4 2 0 2 6:5 6
6 West Brom U21 4 1 0 3 7:10 3
7 Juventus U21 4 1 0 3 5:11 3
8 Leicester U21 4 0 1 3 6:10 1
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Sociedad B 4 3 1 0 6:3 10
2 Dinamo Zagreb 2 4 3 0 1 6:3 9
3 Benfica B 4 2 2 0 13:4 8
4 PSG U21 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
5 Brighton U21 4 1 2 1 6:5 5
6 Nottingham U21 4 1 1 2 3:3 4
7 Newcastle Utd U21 4 0 1 3 0:10 1
8 Chelsea U21 4 0 0 4 6:14 0
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dortmund II 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
2 Manchester United U21 4 3 0 1 8:7 9
3 Sunderland U21 4 2 1 1 11:6 7
4 Anderlecht 2 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
5 Leeds U21 4 2 0 2 4:7 6
6 Sporting CP B 4 1 0 3 5:7 3
7 Ath Bilbao B 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
8 West Ham U21 4 1 0 3 3:8 3
Promotion - Premier League International Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)