Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Southampton U23 vs Aston Villa U23

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 The Snows Stadium, Totton
Southampton U23 Logo

Southampton U23

4 - 0
FT
Aston Villa U23 Logo

Aston Villa U23

Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Tella N.
(Penalty)
35'
Olaigbe K.
37'
Smallbone W.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2 2021/2022 game between Southampton U23 and Aston Villa U23 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Southampton U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Southampton U23
15%
Draws
28%
Aston Villa U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Southampton U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Southampton U23 come out ahead of Aston Villa U23 on wins alone.
  • Southampton U23 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League 2 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Southampton U23 Clean Sheet 11%
Aston Villa U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southampton U23 Aston Villa U23
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 10
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1.67 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 11, 2022 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U23 vs Southampton U23
2:2
Oct 31, 2021 Premier League 2
Southampton U23 vs Aston Villa U23
4:0
May 3, 2019 Premier League 2
Southampton U23 vs Aston Villa U23
2:0
Dec 7, 2018 Premier League 2
Aston Villa U23 vs Southampton U23
2:1
Sep 21, 2018 Premier League 2
Southampton U23 vs Aston Villa U23
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southampton U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Payne L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Small T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Aston Villa U23 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southampton U23 47 / 100
Aston Villa U23 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southampton U23 Aston Villa U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Southampton U23 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aston Villa U23 let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Southampton U23 found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Difficult form: Aston Villa U23 registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Southampton U23 VS Aston Villa U23
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Southampton U23

(Home)
25 Jul
FC Andorra
2 : 0
Southampton U23
13 Jul
FC Cartagena SAD
2 : 0
Southampton U23
01 May
Southampton U23
1 : 0
Sunderland U23
25 Apr
Newcastle Utd U23
2 : 4
Southampton U23
02 Apr
Burnley U23
2 : 1
Southampton U23
Page 1 of 6

Aston Villa U23

(Away)
12 Jul
Hednesford
4 : 3
Aston Villa U23
02 May
Aston Villa U23
1 : 2
Newcastle Utd U23
25 Apr
Burnley U23
2 : 1
Aston Villa U23
18 Apr
Sunderland U23
1 : 3
Aston Villa U23
01 Apr
Aston Villa U23
1 : 4
Stoke City U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)