Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Southampton U23 vs Nottingham U23

England England

Premier League 2 2021/2022 Staplewood Training Ground, Southampton
Southampton U23 Logo

Southampton U23

4 - 2
FT
Nottingham U23 Logo

Nottingham U23

Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Hammond O.
42' Event
Smith J.
Assist: Olaigbe K.
43'
Sub
Harbottle R. In: Salmon L.
Out: Harbottle R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2 2021/2022 game between Southampton U23 and Nottingham U23 finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Southampton U23.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Southampton U23
15%
Draws
53%
Nottingham U23
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Nottingham U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Nottingham U23 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Nottingham U23 a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Premier League 2 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Southampton U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Nottingham U23 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southampton U23 Nottingham U23
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.67 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 26, 2022 Premier League 2
Southampton U23 vs Nottingham U23
4:2
Aug 23, 2021 Premier League 2
Nottingham U23 vs Southampton U23
0:0
Feb 7, 2020 Premier League Cup
Nottingham U23 vs Southampton U23
2:1
Nov 9, 2019 Premier League Cup
Southampton U23 vs Nottingham U23
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southampton U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pearce L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Smith J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Nottingham U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandes B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Konate A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southampton U23 14 / 100
Nottingham U23 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southampton U23 Nottingham U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Nottingham U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Attacking prowess: Southampton U23 scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Nottingham U23 conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Southampton U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Southampton U23 VS Nottingham U23
2.38 Goals Scored 3
2.25 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Southampton U23

(Home)
25 Jul
FC Andorra
2 : 0
Southampton U23
13 Jul
FC Cartagena SAD
2 : 0
Southampton U23
01 May
Southampton U23
1 : 0
Sunderland U23
25 Apr
Newcastle Utd U23
2 : 4
Southampton U23
02 Apr
Burnley U23
2 : 1
Southampton U23
Page 1 of 6

Nottingham U23

(Away)
15 May
Stoke City U23
2 : 0
Nottingham U23
29 Apr
Birmingham U23
0 : 3
Nottingham U23
22 Apr
Nottingham U23
1 : 1
Middlesbrough U23
04 Apr
Nottingham U23
2 : 0
Stoke City U23
01 Apr
Nottingham U23
1 : 0
Wolves U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City U23 26 16 6 4 65:32 54
2 West Ham U23 26 15 3 8 59:39 48
3 Arsenal U23 26 10 11 5 56:48 41
4 Liverpool U23 26 11 7 8 47:37 40
5 Crystal Palace U23 26 12 3 11 54:50 39
6 Manchester United U23 26 11 6 9 46:43 39
7 Tottenham U23 26 10 7 9 49:45 37
8 Leicester U23 26 10 7 9 38:53 37
9 Blackburn U23 26 9 8 9 50:56 35
10 Brighton U23 26 9 7 10 41:41 34
11 Everton U23 26 8 5 13 33:54 29
12 Chelsea U23 26 7 7 12 39:47 28
13 Leeds U23 26 7 6 13 44:49 27
14 Derby U23 26 4 3 19 31:58 15
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 26 20 2 4 64:27 62
2 Wolves U23 26 14 5 7 46:37 47
3 Stoke City U23 26 12 7 7 34:36 43
4 Nottingham U23 26 12 6 8 52:31 42
5 Norwich U23 26 12 3 11 64:52 39
6 Burnley U23 26 11 6 9 46:39 39
7 Southampton U23 26 12 3 11 45:42 39
8 Newcastle Utd U23 26 12 2 12 51:56 38
9 West Brom U23 26 10 5 11 44:54 35
10 Aston Villa U23 26 9 5 12 53:51 32
11 Birmingham U23 26 7 5 14 34:51 26
12 Middlesbrough U23 26 8 2 16 31:50 26
13 Sunderland U23 26 7 3 16 35:49 24
14 Reading U23 26 5 8 13 32:56 23
Promotion - Premier League 2 2022/2023 (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2 2021/2022 (Promotion - Play Offs)