Sport Picks

England

Women’s FA Cup 2016/2017

Swindon W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Southampton Women's W play Swindon W in the Women’s FA Cup 2016/2017. Southampton Women's W are favorites here. Recently, Southampton Women's W averaged 1.9 goals scored and 2.3 conceded. Swindon W averaged 1.06 goals scored and 4.06 conceded. In past meetings, Southampton Women's W won 1, Swindon W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 11, 2016 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for Southampton Women's W and 2.06 for Swindon W. This points to a Southampton Women's W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Southampton Women's W

15%

Draws

15%

Swindon W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Southampton Women's W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Southampton Women's W picked up more points recently compared to Swindon W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.25 vs 2.06 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 95%

Over 2.5 Goals 88%

Over 3.5 Goals 53%

Over 4.5 Goals 26%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%

Southampton Women's W Clean Sheet 10%

Swindon W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 86%

Second Half Goal 90%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Southampton Women's W	Swindon W
Matches Played	10	31
Wins	6	6
Draws	0	0
Losses	4	25
Goals Scored	1.9	1.06
Goals Conceded	2.3	4.06
Expected Goals (xG)	2.13	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 11, 2016 Women’s FA Cup

Southampton Women's W vs Swindon W

Possession: 54% - 43% Cards: 4 - 1

2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southampton Women's W 65 / 100

Swindon W 16 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Southampton Women's W Swindon W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Southampton Women's W Win (1)

Secondary Pick Southampton Women's W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +12.7%

1.61

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.4%

1.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Southampton Women's W attacking → ← attacking Swindon W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southampton Women's W scored in 70% of their last 10 games.

Swindon W let in goals in 87% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Southampton Women's W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Swindon W lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 18

2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.38