Sport Picks
Southend Manor vs Chertsey Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
England
FA Cup 2011/2012 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-2, with Southend Manor advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
32%
15%
53%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chertsey Town
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Chertsey Town come out ahead of Southend Manor on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Southend Manor's way, sitting at 36%.
- Chertsey Town arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Southend Manor, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Southend Manor Clean Sheet 14%
Chertsey Town Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Southend Manor | Chertsey Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 5 | 27 |
| Wins | 2 | 15 |
| Draws | 0 | 5 |
| Losses | 3 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 2.6 | 2.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.6 | 1.48 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 1, 2011 FA Cup
Southend Manor vs Chertsey Town
4:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Southend Manor 35 / 100
Chertsey Town 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Southend Manor Chertsey Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Southend Manor scored in 100% of their last 5 outings.
Games between these two average 6.00 goals.
Chertsey Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 27 matches.
Solid form: Southend Manor remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Chertsey Town
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Southend Manor
(Home) 16 Aug
Colney Heath
3 : 2 Southend Manor
08 Sept
Leiston
5 : 1 Southend Manor
29 Oct
Kettering
3 : 1 Southend Manor
15 Oct
Southend Manor
5 : 0 Leighton Town
01 Oct
Southend Manor
4 : 2 Chertsey Town
15 Oct
Southend Manor
5 : 0 Leighton Town
01 Oct
Southend Manor
4 : 2 Chertsey Town
Chertsey Town
(Away) 03 Oct
Sheppey United
0 : 2 Chertsey Town
29 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 3 Poole Town
26 Sept
Welling
2 : 3 Chertsey Town
22 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 2 Chertsey Town
19 Sept
Chertsey Town
3 : 2 A.F.C. Greenwich Borough
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Sheppey United
0 : 2 Chertsey Town
26 Sept
Welling
2 : 3 Chertsey Town
22 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 2 Chertsey Town
07 Sept
Carshalton
1 : 2 Chertsey Town
31 Aug
Hanworth Villa
4 : 1 Chertsey Town
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
Quarter-finals
Mansfield -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Fleetwood Town -
Weston-super-Mare 1
Dorchester 0
Sholing 1
Havant & Waterlooville 4
Eastleigh 3
Cinderford Town 1
Thame United 1
Oxford City 3
Tamworth -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stratford 4
Stafford 2
Quorn 2
King’s Lynn 4
Dover Ath. 3
Carshalton 0
Concord Rangers 3
Wroxham 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bath City -
Alfreton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln City -
Basingstoke 3
Frome Town 0
Bideford 1
Hartley Wintney 2
Worthing FC 0
Beckenham Town 0
Beaconsfield Town 0
Staines 2
Stourbridge 2
Barwell 0
Eastwood 0
Evesham 3
Rushall 2
Buxton 1
Mickleover 1
Barrow Town 4
Eastbourne Borough 3
Walthamstow FC 0
Merstham 0
Sudbury 2
North Greenford Utd. 2
Hythe 1
St. Albans 4
East Thurrock Utd 6
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County -
Luton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maldon & Tiptree 2
Whitehawk 1
Oxhey Jets 1
Hendon 2
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Radcliffe 3
Clitheroe 1
Runcorn F.C. 0
Hebburn Town 1
Hayes & Yeading -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambridge Utd -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hednesford 1
Carlton Town 0
Histon 2
Corby 4
Redbridge 1
Bury Town 0
Chesham 1
Dunstable Town 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Sutton 5
Dulwich Hamlet 1
Maidstone 2
Bognor Regis 3
Billericay 3
Chipstead 0
Biggleswade Town 2
Leatherhead 3
Witton Albion 2
Altrincham 0
Ashton United 0
Spennymoor 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Barrow -
Arlesey 6
Hampton & Richmond 2
VCD Athletic 2
Thurrock 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Nantwich 2
Northwich Victoria 1
Wakefield 1
Kendal 4
Daventry 2
Leamington 1
Needham Market 0
Nuneaton 3
Totton & Eling 2
Clevedon 1
Hungerford 4
Weymouth 6
Slough Town 3
Boreham Wood 2
Aveley 0
Hanworth Villa 1
Droylsden 2
Workington 1
Colwyn Bay 1
Stocksbridge 3
Whitby 2
North Ferriby United 1
Bedlington 2
Blyth Spartans 1
Stortford 1
Canvey Island 0
Horsham FC 4
Burnham FC 5
Poole Town 4
Cadbury Heath 0
Swindon Supermarine 0
Salisbury 3
Telford -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Frickley 3
Harrogate 2
AFC Fylde 3
Gainsborough 4
Dartford 5
Harrow Borough 0
Erith Town 0
Cray Wanderers 5
Margate 6
Thamesmead 1
Welling 1
Bromley 2
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Boston United 0
Bridgnorth Town 0
Long Buckby 2
Hyde 0
Staveley Miners 3
Warrington Town 1
Bradford PA 3
Chelmsford 3
Tonbridge 0
Hemel Hempstead 0
Lowestoft 3
Truro 3
Bournemouth 2
Whitchurch United 0
Gloucester City 2
Solihull Moors 2
Loughborough Dynamo 0
Chasetown 1
Grantham Town 2
Lancaster 1
United of Manchester 0
Tadcaster Albion 1
Halifax 2
Kettering -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leighton Town 3
Hatfield Town 0
Chertsey Town 2
Southend Manor 4
Grimsby -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Guiseley 2
Stalybridge 1
Vauxhall 3
Ashington 4
Godalming Town 2
Worcester 1
Yate 1
Bodmin Town 1
Woking 7
Wells City 0
Farnborough 3
Maidenhead 4
Darlington FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leek Town 2
Deeping Rangers 0
Matlock 1
Hinckley 3
Newport -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braintree -
Semi-finals
Mansfield -
TBD -
TBD -
Fleetwood Town -
Weston-super-Mare 3
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Eastleigh 1
Oxford City 3
Tamworth -
TBD -
Stratford 2
King’s Lynn 3
Dover Ath. 3
Wroxham 1
TBD -
Bath City -
Alfreton -
TBD -
TBD -
Lincoln City -
Basingstoke 4
Hartley Wintney 0
Worthing FC 0
Staines 2
Stourbridge 5
Evesham 0
Rushall 3
Barrow Town 0
Eastbourne Borough 1
Sudbury 0
North Greenford Utd. 3
East Thurrock Utd 6
Southport -
TBD -
TBD -
Stockport County -
Luton -
TBD -
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Hendon 3
Gateshead -
TBD -
Radcliffe 2
Hebburn Town 4
Hayes & Yeading -
TBD -
TBD -
Cambridge Utd -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
Hednesford 2
Corby 4
Redbridge 3
Dunstable Town 0
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
Wrexham -
TBD -
TBD -
York City -
Sutton 4
Bognor Regis 0
Billericay 0
Leatherhead 3
Witton Albion 3
Spennymoor 1
TBD -
Barrow -
Arlesey 4
Thurrock 1
TBD -
Forest Green -
Nantwich 2
Kendal 1
Daventry 1
Nuneaton 2
Totton & Eling 4
Weymouth 2
Slough Town 3
Hanworth Villa 5
Droylsden 4
Stocksbridge 1
Whitby 1
Blyth Spartans 2
Stortford 5
Burnham FC 2
Poole Town 1
Salisbury 6
Telford -
TBD -
Frickley 0
Gainsborough 2
Dartford 2
Cray Wanderers 1
Margate 2
Bromley 3
Kidsgrove Athletic 2
Long Buckby 1
Hyde 0
Bradford PA 1
Chelmsford 5
Lowestoft 2
Truro 2
Gloucester City 7
Solihull Moors 3
Grantham Town 2
Lancaster 0
Halifax 3
Kettering -
TBD -
Leighton Town 0
Southend Manor 5
Grimsby -
TBD -
Guiseley 0
Ashington 1
Godalming Town 6
Bodmin Town 2
Woking 1
Maidenhead 4
Darlington FC -
TBD -
Leek Town 4
Hinckley 5
Newport -
TBD -
TBD -
Braintree -
Final
Mansfield 1
Fleetwood Town 6
Weston-super-Mare 2
Oxford City 3
Tamworth 2
King’s Lynn 1
Dover Ath. 0
Bath City 1
Alfreton 3
Lincoln City 2
Basingstoke 2
Staines 1
Stourbridge 5
Rushall 0
Eastbourne Borough 1
East Thurrock Utd 2
Southport 1
Stockport County 0
Luton 5
Hendon 1
Gateshead 3
Hebburn Town 0
Hayes & Yeading 2
Cambridge Utd 6
Kidderminster 1
Corby 4
Redbridge 2
Ebbsfleet 0
Wrexham 2
York City 1
Sutton 6
Leatherhead 5
Witton Albion 1
Barrow 4
Arlesey 2
Forest Green 1
Nantwich 1
Nuneaton 0
Totton & Eling 3
Hanworth Villa 2
Droylsden 1
Blyth Spartans 2
Stortford 1
Salisbury 2
Telford 5
Gainsborough 0
Dartford 1
Bromley 2
Kidsgrove Athletic 0
Bradford PA 2
Chelmsford 2
Gloucester City 1
Solihull Moors 0
Halifax 1
Kettering 3
Southend Manor 1
Grimsby 5
Ashington 0
Godalming Town 0
Maidenhead 5
Darlington FC 1
Hinckley 4
Newport 4
Braintree 3
