Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Southend U23 vs Stoke City U23

England England

Premier League Cup 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
James-Taylor D.
14' Event
James-Taylor D.
30' Event
Goodwin W.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-5, with Stoke City U23 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Southend U23
20%
Draws
51%
Stoke City U23
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Stoke City U23

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Stoke City U23 come out ahead of Southend U23 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Stoke City U23's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Stoke City U23 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Stoke City U23, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Southend U23 Clean Sheet 10%
Stoke City U23 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southend U23 Stoke City U23
Matches Played 11 30
Wins 2 14
Draws 1 7
Losses 8 9
Goals Scored 1 1.53
Goals Conceded 2.27 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2022 Premier League Cup
Southend U23 vs Stoke City U23
1:5
Nov 22, 2021 Premier League Cup
Stoke City U23 vs Southend U23
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southend U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer Unwin B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Stoke City U23 Compare

Top Goalscorer James-Taylor D.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Goodwin W.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southend U23 10 / 100
Stoke City U23 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southend U23 Stoke City U23

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Stoke City U23 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Southend U23's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 11 recent games.

Stoke City U23 has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Southend U23 went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Southend U23 VS Stoke City U23
1 Goals Scored 2.13
2.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Southend U23

(Home)
14 Feb
Southend U23
1 : 5
Stoke City U23
25 Jan
Southend U23
1 : 0
Colchester U23
08 Dec
Fulham U23
4 : 0
Southend U23
22 Nov
Stoke City U23
3 : 0
Southend U23
08 Oct
Colchester U23
1 : 1
Southend U23
Page 1 of 3

Stoke City U23

(Away)
19 Jul
Taunton Town
2 : 0
Stoke City U23
23 May
Wolves U23
2 : 0
Stoke City U23
15 May
Stoke City U23
2 : 0
Nottingham U23
29 Apr
Stoke City U23
2 : 1
West Brom U23
25 Apr
Wolves U23
2 : 2
Stoke City U23
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Brom U23 6 4 1 1 18:8 13
2 Arsenal U23 6 2 2 2 11:12 8
3 Bournemouth U23 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
4 Southampton U23 6 0 3 3 7:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Middlesbrough U23 6 3 0 3 13:10 9
2 QPR U23 6 3 0 3 15:14 9
3 Blackburn U23 6 3 0 3 16:16 9
4 Nottingham U23 6 3 0 3 13:17 9
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derby U23 6 5 1 0 17:9 16
2 Charlton U23 6 3 1 2 14:6 10
3 Norwich U23 6 1 2 3 12:16 5
4 Reading U23 6 1 0 5 6:18 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Peterborough U23 6 3 1 2 13:8 10
2 Sheffield Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:10 10
3 Everton U23 6 3 0 3 8:9 9
4 Burnley U23 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Wigan U23 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Leeds U23 6 2 2 2 10:10 8
3 Sunderland U23 6 1 3 2 9:13 6
4 Mansfield U23 6 1 2 3 7:9 5
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 West Ham U23 6 4 1 1 11:5 13
2 Wolves U23 6 3 2 1 8:6 11
3 Exeter U23 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
4 Swansea U23 6 0 3 3 7:12 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Huddersfield U23 6 5 1 0 17:3 16
2 Newcastle Utd U23 6 3 1 2 9:6 10
3 Watford U23 6 2 0 4 7:15 6
4 Birmingham U23 6 1 0 5 6:15 3
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fulham U23 6 5 1 0 14:4 16
2 Stoke City U23 6 3 0 3 15:11 9
3 Colchester U23 6 1 2 3 8:10 5
4 Southend U23 6 1 1 4 4:16 4
Promotion - Premier League Cup 2021/2022 (Play Offs)