Sport Picks
Southern District vs Sham Shui Po
Hong Kong
FA Cup 2023/2024 
Match Events
35'
35'
Ju Y.
41'
41'
Goiano Junior
46'
46'
Sub
Chen Ngo-Hin In: Chak Ting-Fung
Out: Chen Ngo-Hin
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Sham Shui Po advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
20%
29%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Southern District
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Southern District come out ahead of Sham Shui Po on wins alone.
- Southern District are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Southern District have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Sham Shui Po, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Southern District Clean Sheet 18%
Sham Shui Po Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Southern District | Sham Shui Po |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 17 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.42 | 1.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.73 | 2.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.04 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 20, 2024 Premier League
Southern District vs Sham Shui Po
0:2
Jan 13, 2024 Sapling Cup
Southern District vs Sham Shui Po
3:1
Dec 9, 2023 FA Cup
Southern District vs Sham Shui Po
1:2
Nov 19, 2023 Sapling Cup
Sham Shui Po vs Southern District
0:4
Aug 20, 2023 Premier League
Sham Shui Po vs Southern District
1:4
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Southern District Compare
Top Goalscorer Goiano Junior
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52
Sham Shui Po Compare
Top Goalscorer Song Joo-Ho
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Southern District 76 / 100
Sham Shui Po 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Southern District Sham Shui Po
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Southern District Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Southern District's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 33 recent games.
Sham Shui Po's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.
H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Southern District stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Southern District VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Southern District
(Home) 01 Oct
North District
2 : 1 Southern District
20 Sept
Southern District
2 : 1 Eastern District
12 Sept
Southern District
1 : 3 Kitchee
29 Aug
Southern District
2 : 1 Kowloon City
22 Aug
Southern District
3 : 2 Hong Kong FC
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Southern District
2 : 1 Eastern District
12 Sept
Southern District
1 : 3 Kitchee
29 Aug
Southern District
2 : 1 Kowloon City
22 Aug
Southern District
3 : 2 Hong Kong FC
09 May
Southern District
2 : 2 Eastern District
Page 1 of 4
Sham Shui Po
(Away) 01 Jun
Eastern AA
3 : 2 Sham Shui Po
26 May
Hong Kong FC
0 : 0 Sham Shui Po
19 May
Sham Shui Po
1 : 6 Lee Man Warriors
11 May
Lee Man Warriors
1 : 2 Sham Shui Po
05 May
Resources Capital
0 : 0 Sham Shui Po
Page 1 of 6
01 Jun
Eastern AA
3 : 2 Sham Shui Po
26 May
Hong Kong FC
0 : 0 Sham Shui Po
11 May
Lee Man Warriors
1 : 2 Sham Shui Po
05 May
Resources Capital
0 : 0 Sham Shui Po
01 May
Tai Po
2 : 1 Sham Shui Po
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Kitchee -
TBD -
TBD -
Hong Kong FC -
Eastern AA -
TBD -
Tai Po 0
Resources Capital 1
Hong Kong Rangers -
TBD -
North District 1
Lee Man Warriors 4
Southern District -
TBD -
Sham Shui Po 1
HK U23 0
Quarter-finals
Kitchee 2
Hong Kong FC 0
Eastern AA 1
Resources Capital 0
Hong Kong Rangers 3
Lee Man Warriors 4
Southern District 1
Sham Shui Po 2
Semi-finals
Kitchee 1
Eastern AA 2
Lee Man Warriors 1
Sham Shui Po 2
Final
Eastern AA 3
Sham Shui Po 2
