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Southern United vs Hamilton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Al-Kalisy A.
15' Event
O'Keeffe C.
89' Event
Al-Kalisy A.

AI Match Summary

The Football Championship 2019/2020 game between Southern United and Hamilton finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Southern United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Southern United
15%
Draws
48%
Hamilton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hamilton come out ahead of Southern United on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Southern United's way, sitting at 80%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Football Championship 2019/2020 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Southern United here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Southern United Clean Sheet 20%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southern United Hamilton
Matches Played 28 35
Wins 8 14
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1.46 1.66
Goals Conceded 2.18 1.91
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 8, 2020 Football Championship
Hamilton vs Southern United
1:1
Nov 23, 2019 Football Championship
Southern United vs Hamilton
4:0
Jan 19, 2019 Football Championship
Southern United vs Hamilton
3:1
Nov 4, 2018 Football Championship
Hamilton vs Southern United
0:1
Mar 10, 2018 Football Championship
Southern United vs Hamilton
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southern United Compare

Top Goalscorer Al-Kalisy A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader O'Keeffe C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Hamilton Compare

Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southern United 76 / 100
Hamilton 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southern United Hamilton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Southern United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamilton has conceded goals in 89% of their last 35 outings.

Southern United found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Southern United has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Hamilton
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Southern United

(Home)
14 Mar
Southern United
0 : 1
Team Wellington
29 Feb
Hawke s Bay
3 : 4
Southern United
15 Feb
Southern United
2 : 1
Waitakere United
08 Feb
Hamilton
1 : 1
Southern United
01 Feb
Eastern Suburbs
6 : 0
Southern United
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Hamilton

(Away)
29 Jul
Hamilton
0 : 3
Christchurch
09 Jul
Hamilton
3 : 2
Ngaruawahia AFC
20 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 0
Hamilton
30 Jul
Miramar
3 : 4
Hamilton
09 Jul
Auckland United
0 : 1
Hamilton
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 16 11 4 1 42:15 37
2 Team Wellington 16 10 4 2 36:15 34
3 Waitakere United 16 8 3 5 35:32 27
4 Eastern Suburbs 16 6 4 6 33:26 22
5 Tasman United 16 6 2 8 27:26 20
6 Hamilton 16 6 2 8 24:39 20
7 Southern United 16 5 4 7 25:38 19
8 Wellington Phoenix 2 16 4 6 6 30:32 18
9 Hawke s Bay 16 4 3 9 32:44 15
10 Canterbury 16 2 4 10 19:36 10
Promotion - Football Championship 2019/2020 (Play Offs)