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Southern United vs Tasman United

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2019/2020
Sat, Nov 2, 2019
0 - 3
03:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Last S.
29' Event
Stevens J.
50' Event
Stevens J.

AI Match Summary

Southern United host Tasman United in the Football Championship 2019/2020. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Tasman United have shipped 1.68 goals a game lately, while Southern United have conceded 2.18 and scored 1.46. Past meetings favor Tasman United slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 18, 2020, ending 5:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 2.31) point toward Southern United. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Southern United
20%
Draws
40%
Tasman United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Southern United have managed 1.46 goals a game lately — Tasman United are scoring more at 1.54.
  • Win probability leans Southern United's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Southern United Clean Sheet 10%
Tasman United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southern United Tasman United
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.46 1.54
Goals Conceded 2.18 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2020 Football Championship
Tasman United vs Southern United
5:0
Nov 2, 2019 Football Championship
Southern United vs Tasman United
0:3
Feb 17, 2019 Football Championship
Tasman United vs Southern United
1:2
Nov 25, 2018 Football Championship
Southern United vs Tasman United
3:1
Jan 21, 2018 Football Championship
Southern United vs Tasman United
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southern United Compare

Top Goalscorer Stevens J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Last S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Tasman United Compare

Avg xG / game 2.1
Avg xA / game 1.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southern United 56 / 100
Tasman United 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southern United Tasman United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Southern United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Southern United's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Tasman United conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Southern United remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Southern United VS Tasman United
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Southern United

(Home)
14 Mar
Southern United
0 : 1
Team Wellington
29 Feb
Hawke s Bay
3 : 4
Southern United
15 Feb
Southern United
2 : 1
Waitakere United
08 Feb
Hamilton
1 : 1
Southern United
01 Feb
Eastern Suburbs
6 : 0
Southern United
Page 1 of 6

Tasman United

(Away)
14 Mar
Hamilton
3 : 3
Tasman United
08 Mar
Wellington Phoenix 2
3 : 1
Tasman United
23 Feb
Tasman United
2 : 1
Auckland City
09 Feb
Team Wellington
3 : 1
Tasman United
02 Feb
Tasman United
3 : 1
Hawke s Bay
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Auckland City 16 11 4 1 42:15 37
2 Team Wellington 16 10 4 2 36:15 34
3 Waitakere United 16 8 3 5 35:32 27
4 Eastern Suburbs 16 6 4 6 33:26 22
5 Tasman United 16 6 2 8 27:26 20
6 Hamilton 16 6 2 8 24:39 20
7 Southern United 16 5 4 7 25:38 19
8 Wellington Phoenix 2 16 4 6 6 30:32 18
9 Hawke s Bay 16 4 3 9 32:44 15
10 Canterbury 16 2 4 10 19:36 10
Promotion - Football Championship 2019/2020 (Play Offs)