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Southern United vs Team Wellington

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2019/2020
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Sinclair J.

AI Match Summary

Team Wellington in this Football Championship 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Team Wellington.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Southern United
6%
Draws
90%
Team Wellington
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Team Wellington

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Team Wellington have won more games recently than Southern United.
  • Win probability leans Team Wellington's way, sitting at 90%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Football Championship 2019/2020 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Team Wellington have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Southern United Clean Sheet 19%
Team Wellington Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southern United Team Wellington
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 8 18
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 3
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2020 Football Championship
Southern United vs Team Wellington
0:1
Dec 15, 2019 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Southern United
6:1
Jan 27, 2019 Football Championship
Southern United vs Team Wellington
0:0
Nov 11, 2018 Football Championship
Team Wellington vs Southern United
3:1
Feb 11, 2018 Football Championship
Southern United vs Team Wellington
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southern United Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Team Wellington Compare

Top Goalscorer Sinclair J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southern United 10 / 100
Team Wellington 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southern United Team Wellington

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TEA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:5
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Southern United found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Team Wellington's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Southern United stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Southern United VS Team Wellington
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Auckland City16114142:1537
2Team Wellington16104236:1534
3Waitakere United1683535:3227
4Eastern Suburbs1664633:2622
5Tasman United1662827:2620
6Hamilton1662824:3920
7Southern United1654725:3819
8Wellington Phoenix 21646630:3218
9Hawke s Bay1643932:4415
10Canterbury16241019:3610