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Southern United vs WaiBOP United

New Zealand New Zealand

Football Championship 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Southern United play WaiBOP United in the Football Championship 2015/2016. It looks like a close match. Recently, Southern United averaged 1.34 goals scored and 2.16 conceded. WaiBOP United averaged 1.77 goals scored and 1.87 conceded. In past meetings, Southern United won 0, WaiBOP United won 5, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jan 14, 2016 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.60 for Southern United and 1.63 for WaiBOP United. This points to a WaiBOP United double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Southern United
15%
Draws
53%
WaiBOP United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: WaiBOP United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Southern United picked up more points recently compared to WaiBOP United.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.60 vs 1.63 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 72%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 87%
Over 2.5 Goals 72%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Southern United Clean Sheet 14%
WaiBOP United Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 78%
Second Half Goal 83%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southern United WaiBOP United
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 1
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.34 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.16 1.87

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2016 Football Championship
WaiBOP United vs Southern United
3:0
Dec 6, 2015 Football Championship
Southern United vs WaiBOP United
1:2
Mar 14, 2015 Football Championship
WaiBOP United vs Southern United
2:1
Jan 11, 2015 Football Championship
Southern United vs WaiBOP United
0:1
Feb 9, 2014 Football Championship
Southern United vs WaiBOP United
1:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southern United Compare

Top Goalscorer Mobberley A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

WaiBOP United Compare

Top Goalscorer Hoyle S.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southern United 32 / 100
WaiBOP United 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southern United WaiBOP United

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick WaiBOP United Win (2)
Secondary Pick WaiBOP United & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +33.4%
4.17
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.4%
1.52
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Southern United attacking → ← attacking WaiBOP United

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southern United scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

WaiBOP United let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Southern United went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

WaiBOP United lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

32 Points in last 5 40
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
2.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Auckland City14122043:1238
2Hawke s Bay1493229:1630
3Team Wellington1483336:2127
4Canterbury1482428:2326
5WaiBOP United1460829:2718
6Waitakere United1441923:3613
7Wellington Phoenix 214211124:467
8Southern United14101311:423