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Southport vs Fleetwood Town

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fleetwood Town in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fleetwood Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Southport
20%
Draws
40%
Fleetwood Town
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Southport lately — more wins on the board than Fleetwood Town.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Southport Clean Sheet 12%
Fleetwood Town Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Southport Fleetwood Town
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 9
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.37 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Club Friendly
Southport vs Fleetwood Town
0:1
Nov 15, 2016 FA Cup
Fleetwood Town vs Southport
4:1
Nov 7, 2016 FA Cup
Southport vs Fleetwood Town
0:0
Jul 26, 2016 Club Friendly
Southport vs Fleetwood Town
1:3
Jul 27, 2013 Club Friendly
Southport vs Fleetwood Town
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southport 35 / 100
Fleetwood Town 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Southport Fleetwood Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fleetwood Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Southport scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Fleetwood Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 26 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Fleetwood Town has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Southport VS Fleetwood Town
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Southport

(Home)
26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2
Spennymoor
19 Sept
Morecambe
2 : 0
Southport
12 Sept
Worksop
2 : 0
Southport
08 Sept
Southport
2 : 1
Morecambe
05 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 0
Southport
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Fleetwood Town

(Away)
26 Sept
Fleetwood Town
1 : 2
Rochdale
22 Sept
Oldham
1 : 0
Fleetwood Town
19 Sept
Barnet
3 : 1
Fleetwood Town
16 Sept
Fleetwood Town
1 : 0
Sheffield Utd
12 Sept
Newport
1 : 1
Fleetwood Town
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