Sport Picks
Match Events
6'
6'
Brogan M.
8'
8'
Pais M.
32'
32'
Sze C.
AI Match Summary
The National League North 2025/2026 game between Southport and Leamington finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Leamington.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Southport
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Southport carry the better recent record into this one.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Southport taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Leamington have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Southport Clean Sheet 14%
Leamington Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Southport | Leamington |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 13 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.53 | 2.11 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.56 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 National League North
Southport vs Leamington
1:2
Sep 2, 2025 National League North
Leamington vs Southport
2:1
Mar 4, 2025 National League North
Southport vs Leamington
0:2
Oct 22, 2024 National League North
Leamington vs Southport
3:0
Apr 29, 2023 National League North
Leamington vs Southport
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Southport Compare
Top Goalscorer Sze C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78
Leamington Compare
Top Goalscorer Brogan M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Pais M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Southport 35 / 100
Leamington 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Southport Leamington
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Leamington has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.
Southport scored in 77% of their last 30 games.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Difficult form: Leamington registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Southport VS Leamington
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Southport
(Home) 26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2 Spennymoor
19 Sept
Morecambe
2 : 0 Southport
12 Sept
Worksop
2 : 0 Southport
08 Sept
Southport
2 : 1 Morecambe
05 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 0 Southport
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2 Spennymoor
08 Sept
Southport
2 : 1 Morecambe
31 Aug
Southport
0 : 1 Hereford
22 Aug
Southport
4 : 1 Bedford
15 Aug
Southport
1 : 1 Buxton
Page 1 of 4
Leamington
(Away) 29 Sept
Bromsgrove
1 : 1 Leamington
26 Sept
Quorn
4 : 2 Leamington
22 Sept
Gainsborough
3 : 0 Leamington
19 Sept
Leamington
1 : 1 Gainsborough
12 Sept
Stortford
3 : 1 Leamington
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Bromsgrove
1 : 1 Leamington
26 Sept
Quorn
4 : 2 Leamington
22 Sept
Gainsborough
3 : 0 Leamington
12 Sept
Stortford
3 : 1 Leamington
01 Sept
Stourbridge
0 : 2 Leamington
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 46 | 32 | 4 | 10 | 112:51 | 100 |
| 2 | South Shields | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 99:43 | 95 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 74:51 | 87 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 46 | 24 | 7 | 15 | 81:68 | 79 |
| 5 | Buxton | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 83:61 | 73 |
| 6 | Scarborough Athletic | 46 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 61:52 | 73 |
| 7 | Chester | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 66:64 | 73 |
| 8 | Merthyr Town | 46 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 95:86 | 70 |
| 9 | Darlington FC | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 78:68 | 69 |
| 10 | Spennymoor | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 62:69 | 68 |
| 11 | Telford | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 85:65 | 65 |
| 12 | Marine | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 62:72 | 62 |
| 13 | Radcliffe | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 76:83 | 60 |
| 14 | Southport | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 64:71 | 60 |
| 15 | Chorley | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 66:65 | 57 |
| 16 | Worksop | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 66:74 | 57 |
| 17 | Oxford City | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 62:67 | 56 |
| 18 | Bedford | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 66:77 | 53 |
| 19 | King’s Lynn | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 56:64 | 52 |
| 20 | Hereford | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 64:79 | 52 |
| 21 | Curzon Ashton | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 67:88 | 52 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 49:82 | 50 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 51:96 | 39 |
| 24 | Leamington | 46 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 41:90 | 29 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
