Sport Picks

Southport vs Leek Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

FA Trophy 2025/2026

Southport

3 - 1

Leek Town

Our Tip

Match Events

61'

Sze C.

70'

Sze C.

(Penalty)

89'

Edwards L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Southport advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Southport

20%

Draws

51%

Leek Town

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Leek Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Southport come out ahead of Leek Town on wins alone.
Win probability leans Leek Town's way, sitting at 60%.
Southport have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Southport, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 20%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%

Southport Clean Sheet 10%

Leek Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Southport	Leek Town
Matches Played	29	28
Wins	13	12
Draws	4	8
Losses	12	8
Goals Scored	1.38	1.64
Goals Conceded	1.55	1.29
Expected Goals (xG)	1.31	2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 13, 2025 FA Trophy

Southport vs Leek Town

3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Southport Compare

Top Goalscorer Sze C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Gnahoua A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.01

Avg xA / game 0.66

Leek Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Edwards L.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 2.05

Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Southport 18 / 100

Leek Town 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Southport Leek Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Leek Town Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Southport's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Leek Town conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: Southport remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Southport VS Leek Town

0.63 Goals Scored 2.63

1.88 Goals Conceded 2

75% Over 1.5 100%

38% Over 2.5 100%

25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Southport

(Home)

26 Sept

Southport

2 : 2

Spennymoor

19 Sept

Morecambe

2 : 0

Southport

12 Sept

Worksop

2 : 0

Southport

08 Sept

Southport

2 : 1

Morecambe

05 Sept

Spalding United

2 : 0

Southport

Page 1 of 6

Leek Town

(Away)

06 Oct

Leek Town

3 : 3

Warrington Rylands

26 Sept

Worcester

0 : 2

Leek Town

22 Sept

Leek Town

2 : 1

Hyde

19 Sept

Bromsgrove

2 : 1

Leek Town

12 Sept

Redcar Athletic

3 : 2

Leek Town

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Sudbury 2

Leiston 1

TBD -

Hereford -

Radcliffe -

TBD -

Bradford PA 2

Morpeth 1

Solihull Moors -

TBD -

Spennymoor -

TBD -

AFC Fylde -

TBD -

Eastleigh -

TBD -

Aldershot -

Buxton -

TBD -

Southport -

Leek Town 3

Bromsgrove 0

TBD -

Scarborough Athletic -

Dover Ath. -

TBD -

Basingstoke 1

Dorchester 2

Brentwood 3

Welling 0

TBD -

Hornchurch -

Chesham -

TBD -

Telford -

TBD -

Altrincham -

Yeovil -

TBD -

Torquay -

TBD -

Maidstone -

Alvechurch 1

Worcester 0

Real Bedford 3

Ashford United 2

Redditch 1

Gainsborough 2

Alfreton -

TBD -

Scunthorpe -

TBD -

Oxford City -

TBD -

Peterborough Sports -

Chester -

TBD -

Clitheroe 4

Stockton 2

TBD -

York City -

Leatherhead 2

Canvey Island 1

TBD -

Hampton & Richmond -

King’s Lynn -

TBD -

Stanway Rovers 1

Harrow Borough 2

Hemel Hempstead -

TBD -

Chelmsford -

Horsham FC -

TBD -

Farnham 3

Bishops Cleeve 2

Wimborne 1

Portchester 0

Waltham Abbey 0

Chatham 2

Plymouth Parkway 2

Poole Town 1

TBD -

Salisbury -

Harborough 4

AFC Rushden & Diamonds 1

TBD -

Enfield Town -

TBD -

Carlisle -

Dorking Wanderers -

TBD -

Eastbourne Borough -

Bath City -

TBD -

Bracknell Town 1

Banbury 0

Southend -

TBD -

Truro -

Halifax -

TBD -

United of Manchester 1

Bamber Bridge 0

TBD -

Darlington FC -

Hartlepool -

TBD -

Bedford -

TBD -

Anstey Nomads 4

Stratford 0

Chorley -

TBD -

Worksop -

Kidderminster -

TBD -

Spalding United 0

Corby 1

Gateshead -

TBD -

Morecambe -

Ebbsfleet -

TBD -

Sittingbourne 2

Cray Valley 1

TBD -

Braintree -

Forest Green -

TBD -

Chippenham Town -

TBD -

Weston-super-Mare -

Wealdstone -

TBD -

Billericay 0

Stortford 5

Wingate & Finchley 0

Cheshunt 1

Dagenham & Red. -

TBD -

Tilbury 1

Hadley 0

Merthyr Town -

TBD -

St. Albans 0

Hanwell Town 2

Tamworth -

TBD -

Boston United -

Leamington -

TBD -

Maidenhead -

TBD -

Rochdale -

Ilkeston 3

St Ives Town 1

TBD -

Curzon Ashton -

Marine -

TBD -

Hyde 0

Stocksbridge 3

Slough Town -

TBD -

Gloucester City 1

Havant & Waterlooville 0

Tonbridge -

TBD -

Worthing FC -

Walton & Hersham 5

Hendon 1

TBD -

Farnborough -

TBD -

Sutton -

Boreham Wood -

TBD -

Brackley -

Woking -

TBD -

Burgess Hill 1

Folkestone 4

TBD -

AFC Totton -

South Shields -

TBD -

Dunston 1

Hebburn Town 0

Macclesfield -

TBD -

Prescot Cables 2

Guiseley 1

1/64-finals

Sudbury 1

Hereford 5

Radcliffe 3

Bradford PA 2

Solihull Moors -

TBD -

Spennymoor 2

AFC Fylde 3

Eastleigh -

TBD -

Aldershot -

Buxton 2

Southport 3

Leek Town 1

Scarborough Athletic 0

Dover Ath. 2

Dorchester 0

Brentwood 0

Hornchurch 1

Chesham 1

Telford 2

TBD -

Altrincham -

Yeovil -

TBD -

Torquay 0

Maidstone 2

Alvechurch 2

Real Bedford 1

Gainsborough 1

Alfreton 2

Scunthorpe -

TBD -

Oxford City 1

Peterborough Sports 2

Chester 0

Clitheroe 1

TBD -

York City -

Leatherhead 2

Hampton & Richmond 0

King’s Lynn 2

Harrow Borough 3

Hemel Hempstead 1

Chelmsford 0

Horsham FC 2

Farnham 0

Wimborne 0

Chatham 1

Plymouth Parkway 4

Salisbury 3

Harborough 3

Enfield Town 0

TBD -

Carlisle -

Dorking Wanderers 3

Eastbourne Borough 2

Bath City 2

Bracknell Town 1

Southend -

TBD -

Truro -

Halifax -

TBD -

United of Manchester 3

Darlington FC 2

Hartlepool -

TBD -

Bedford 0

Anstey Nomads 1

Chorley 2

Worksop 3

Kidderminster 3

Corby 0

Gateshead -

TBD -

Morecambe -

Ebbsfleet 2

Sittingbourne 1

TBD -

Braintree -

Forest Green -

TBD -

Chippenham Town 0

Weston-super-Mare 1

Wealdstone -

TBD -

Stortford 1

Cheshunt 2

Dagenham & Red. 2

Tilbury 0

Merthyr Town 2

Hanwell Town 3

Tamworth -

TBD -

Boston United -

Leamington 2

Maidenhead 0

TBD -

Rochdale -

Ilkeston 0

Curzon Ashton 1

Marine 2

Stocksbridge 0

Slough Town 1

Gloucester City 2

Tonbridge 0

Worthing FC 4

Walton & Hersham 2

Farnborough 1

TBD -

Sutton -

Boreham Wood -

TBD -

Brackley -

Woking -

TBD -

Folkestone 1

AFC Totton 2

South Shields 6

Dunston 2

Macclesfield 1

Prescot Cables 0

1/32-finals

Hereford 2

Radcliffe 1

Solihull Moors 2

AFC Fylde 3

Eastleigh 2

Aldershot 1

Southport 3

Leek Town 1

Dover Ath. 1

Hornchurch 4

Telford 4

Altrincham 3

Yeovil 2

Maidstone 1

Alvechurch 3

Alfreton 2

Scunthorpe 5

Peterborough Sports 0

Clitheroe 2

York City 1

Leatherhead 3

Harrow Borough 2

Hemel Hempstead 0

Horsham FC 2

Chatham 3

Plymouth Parkway 0

Harborough 1

Carlisle 2

Dorking Wanderers 1

Bath City 2

Southend 4

Truro 0

Halifax 4

United of Manchester 0

Hartlepool 1

Anstey Nomads 2

Worksop 0

Kidderminster 1

Gateshead 0

Morecambe 3

Ebbsfleet 3

Braintree 1

Forest Green 4

Weston-super-Mare 0

Wealdstone 2

Cheshunt 1

Dagenham & Red. 3

Hanwell Town 1

Tamworth 2

Boston United 1

Leamington 0

Rochdale 1

Curzon Ashton 1

Marine 2

Gloucester City 4

Worthing FC 3

Walton & Hersham 4

Sutton 1

Boreham Wood 3

Brackley 4

Woking 2

AFC Totton 0

South Shields 0

Macclesfield 1

1/16-finals

Hereford 2

AFC Fylde 3

Eastleigh 0

Southport 2

Hornchurch 1

Telford 2

Yeovil 1

Alvechurch 0

Scunthorpe 3

Clitheroe 1

Leatherhead 2

Horsham FC 3

Chatham 1

Carlisle 0

Bath City 1

Southend 3

Halifax 4

Anstey Nomads 0

Kidderminster 6

Morecambe 2

Ebbsfleet 0

Forest Green 2

Wealdstone 1

Dagenham & Red. 0

Tamworth 2

Rochdale 1

Marine 2

Gloucester City 1

Walton & Hersham 1

Brackley 0

Woking 2

Macclesfield 1

1/8-finals

AFC Fylde 0

Southport 1

Telford 0

Yeovil 2

Scunthorpe 1

Horsham FC 2

Chatham 0

Southend 1

Halifax 1

Kidderminster 2

Forest Green 0

Wealdstone 3

Tamworth 0

Marine 1

Walton & Hersham 1

Woking 2

Quarter-finals

Southport 2

Yeovil 1

Horsham FC 1

Southend 2

Kidderminster 1

Wealdstone 2

Marine 1

Woking 0

Semi-finals

Southport 1

Southend 3

Wealdstone 1

Marine 0

Final

Southend 1

Wealdstone 0

Southport vs Leek Town - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England

Southport

Leek Town

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Southport Compare

Leek Town Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Southport

Leek Town

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Install Sokapicks PWA