Sport Picks
Match Events
23'
23'
Griffiths L.
77'
77'
Jolley C.
82'
82'
McKenzie M.
AI Match Summary
The National League North 2025/2026 game between Southport and Marine finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Southport.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Marine
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Marine come out ahead of Southport on wins alone.
- Marine are the model's pick here, at 80%.
- Regular National League North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Southport Clean Sheet 11%
Marine Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Southport | Marine |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 14 |
| Draws | 4 | 2 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.55 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 3, 2026 National League North
Southport vs Marine
2:1
Dec 26, 2025 National League North
Marine vs Southport
4:2
Mar 11, 2025 National League North
Marine vs Southport
1:0
Nov 30, 2024 National League North
Southport vs Marine
0:0
Jul 27, 2021 Club Friendly
Southport vs Marine
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Southport Compare
Top Goalscorer Griffiths L.
1 Goals Assists Leader McKenzie M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Marine Compare
Top Goalscorer Jolley C.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Southport 10 / 100
Marine 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Southport Marine
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Marine Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Southport scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
Marine has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Southport went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Southport VS Marine
1.13 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Southport
(Home) 26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2 Spennymoor
19 Sept
Morecambe
2 : 0 Southport
12 Sept
Worksop
2 : 0 Southport
08 Sept
Southport
2 : 1 Morecambe
05 Sept
Spalding United
2 : 0 Southport
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Southport
2 : 2 Spennymoor
08 Sept
Southport
2 : 1 Morecambe
31 Aug
Southport
0 : 1 Hereford
22 Aug
Southport
4 : 1 Bedford
15 Aug
Southport
1 : 1 Buxton
Page 1 of 4
Marine
(Away) 03 Oct
Marine
2 : 0 Warrington Town
26 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 2 Marine
19 Sept
Marine
3 : 2 Radcliffe
12 Sept
Marine
2 : 1 Darlington FC
08 Sept
South Shields
2 : 1 Marine
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Merthyr Town
1 : 2 Marine
08 Sept
South Shields
2 : 1 Marine
31 Aug
Harborough
2 : 1 Marine
22 Aug
King’s Lynn
1 : 4 Marine
15 Aug
Hereford
1 : 0 Marine
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AFC Fylde | 46 | 32 | 4 | 10 | 112:51 | 100 |
| 2 | South Shields | 46 | 28 | 11 | 7 | 99:43 | 95 |
| 3 | Kidderminster | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 74:51 | 87 |
| 4 | Macclesfield | 46 | 24 | 7 | 15 | 81:68 | 79 |
| 5 | Buxton | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 83:61 | 73 |
| 6 | Scarborough Athletic | 46 | 19 | 16 | 11 | 61:52 | 73 |
| 7 | Chester | 46 | 20 | 13 | 13 | 66:64 | 73 |
| 8 | Merthyr Town | 46 | 22 | 4 | 20 | 95:86 | 70 |
| 9 | Darlington FC | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 78:68 | 69 |
| 10 | Spennymoor | 46 | 19 | 11 | 16 | 62:69 | 68 |
| 11 | Telford | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 85:65 | 65 |
| 12 | Marine | 46 | 18 | 8 | 20 | 62:72 | 62 |
| 13 | Radcliffe | 46 | 18 | 6 | 22 | 76:83 | 60 |
| 14 | Southport | 46 | 16 | 12 | 18 | 64:71 | 60 |
| 15 | Chorley | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 66:65 | 57 |
| 16 | Worksop | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 66:74 | 57 |
| 17 | Oxford City | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 62:67 | 56 |
| 18 | Bedford | 46 | 13 | 14 | 19 | 66:77 | 53 |
| 19 | King’s Lynn | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 56:64 | 52 |
| 20 | Hereford | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 64:79 | 52 |
| 21 | Curzon Ashton | 46 | 13 | 13 | 20 | 67:88 | 52 |
| 22 | Alfreton | 46 | 12 | 14 | 20 | 49:82 | 50 |
| 23 | Peterborough Sports | 46 | 10 | 9 | 27 | 51:96 | 39 |
| 24 | Leamington | 46 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 41:90 | 29 |
Promotion - National League (Main)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
