Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Souths vs Logan Lightning - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Logan Lightning in this Queensland Premier League 2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Logan Lightning.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Souths
15%
Draws
85%
Logan Lightning
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Logan Lightning

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Logan Lightning have won more games recently than Souths.
  • 85% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Queensland Premier League 2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Logan Lightning have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Souths Clean Sheet 19%
Logan Lightning Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Souths Logan Lightning
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 7 16
Draws 2 6
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 1.43 1.89
Goals Conceded 2.87 1.82
Expected Goals (xG) 1.79 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2020 Queensland Premier League
Logan Lightning vs Souths
2:0
Mar 14, 2020 Queensland Premier League
Souths vs Logan Lightning
0:2
Jul 27, 2019 Queensland Premier League
Logan Lightning vs Souths
2:0
Mar 9, 2019 Queensland Premier League
Souths vs Logan Lightning
1:5
Jul 22, 2017 Brisbane Premier League
Logan Lightning vs Souths
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Souths 32 / 100
Logan Lightning 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Souths Logan Lightning

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Logan Lightning Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Souths scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Logan Lightning conceded in 79% of 38 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Logan Lightning registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Logan Lightning
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 2.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Souths

(Home)
25 Sept
Souths
1 : 2
Southside Eagles
19 Sept
Sunshine Coast
2 : 1
Souths
11 Sept
Souths
3 : 4
Western Pride
07 Sept
Ipswich Knights
3 : 1
Souths
04 Sept
Souths
1 : 2
Mitchelton
Page 1 of 6

Logan Lightning

(Away)
15 Aug
Redlands
2 : 0
Logan Lightning
09 Aug
Logan Lightning
4 : 1
St. George Willawong
31 Jul
Broadbeach Utd.
1 : 0
Logan Lightning
18 Jul
Logan Lightning
2 : 2
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
11 Jul
Logan Lightning
3 : 2
Ipswich
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 18 13 2 3 52:23 41
2 Capalaba FC 18 12 2 4 48:26 38
3 Logan Lightning 18 12 1 5 52:26 37
4 Rochedale 18 9 3 6 49:37 30
5 Mitchelton 18 9 3 6 44:32 30
6 Ipswich Knights 18 8 4 6 35:31 28
7 Wynnum Wolves 18 5 4 9 32:44 19
8 Souths 18 4 1 13 29:59 13
9 Southside Eagles 18 3 3 12 22:46 12
10 Holland Park Hawks 18 3 1 14 31:70 10
Promotion - Queensland Premier League 2019 (Play Offs)