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Souths vs Mitchelton - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League 2019
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AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League 2019 game between Souths and Mitchelton finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Mitchelton.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Souths
15%
Draws
85%
Mitchelton
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mitchelton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Mitchelton haven't matched Souths's recent run of results.
  • 0% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.6%
Souths Clean Sheet 19%
Mitchelton Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Souths Mitchelton
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 7 6
Draws 2 4
Losses 21 25
Goals Scored 1.43 1.37
Goals Conceded 2.87 3.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.60 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2021 Queensland Premier League
Souths vs Mitchelton
1:2
Jun 4, 2021 Queensland Premier League
Mitchelton vs Souths
3:1
Oct 3, 2020 Queensland Premier League
Souths vs Mitchelton
4:4
Aug 2, 2020 Queensland Premier League
Mitchelton vs Souths
3:3
May 18, 2019 Queensland Premier League
Mitchelton vs Souths
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Souths 31 / 100
Mitchelton 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Souths Mitchelton

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Souths Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Souths's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Mitchelton let in goals in 94% of their last 35 matches.

Games between these two average 5.40 goals.

Difficult form: Mitchelton registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mitchelton
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 4
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Souths

(Home)
25 Sept
Souths
1 : 2
Southside Eagles
19 Sept
Sunshine Coast
2 : 1
Souths
11 Sept
Souths
3 : 4
Western Pride
07 Sept
Ipswich Knights
3 : 1
Souths
04 Sept
Souths
1 : 2
Mitchelton
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Mitchelton

(Away)
18 Aug
Mitchelton
5 : 3
Logan Lightning
10 Aug
Southside Eagles
4 : 1
Mitchelton
02 Aug
Moreton City Excelsior U21
0 : 3
Mitchelton
21 Jul
Mitchelton
0 : 0
Ipswich
13 Jul
Brisbane Strikers
1 : 0
Mitchelton
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sunshine Coast Wanderers 18 13 2 3 52:23 41
2 Capalaba FC 18 12 2 4 48:26 38
3 Logan Lightning 18 12 1 5 52:26 37
4 Rochedale 18 9 3 6 49:37 30
5 Mitchelton 18 9 3 6 44:32 30
6 Ipswich Knights 18 8 4 6 35:31 28
7 Wynnum Wolves 18 5 4 9 32:44 19
8 Souths 18 4 1 13 29:59 13
9 Southside Eagles 18 3 3 12 22:46 12
10 Holland Park Hawks 18 3 1 14 31:70 10
Promotion - Queensland Premier League 2019 (Play Offs)