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Souths vs Sunshine Coast - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia Australia

Queensland Premier League 2021
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AI Match Summary

The Queensland Premier League 2021 game between Souths and Sunshine Coast finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Souths.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Souths
15%
Draws
85%
Sunshine Coast
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sunshine Coast

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sunshine Coast come out ahead of Souths on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sunshine Coast here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Souths Clean Sheet 20%
Sunshine Coast Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Souths Sunshine Coast
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 7 11
Draws 2 3
Losses 21 19
Goals Scored 1.43 1.24
Goals Conceded 2.87 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2021 Queensland Premier League
Sunshine Coast vs Souths
2:1
May 15, 2021 Queensland Premier League
Souths vs Sunshine Coast
3:2
Oct 24, 2020 Queensland Premier League
Souths vs Sunshine Coast
2:3
Aug 16, 2020 Queensland Premier League
Sunshine Coast vs Souths
5:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Souths 32 / 100
Sunshine Coast 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Souths Sunshine Coast

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Souths found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 5.25 goals when they meet.

Sunshine Coast has conceded goals in 79% of their last 33 outings.

Sunshine Coast lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sunshine Coast
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Souths

(Home)
25 Sept
Souths
1 : 2
Southside Eagles
19 Sept
Sunshine Coast
2 : 1
Souths
11 Sept
Souths
3 : 4
Western Pride
07 Sept
Ipswich Knights
3 : 1
Souths
04 Sept
Souths
1 : 2
Mitchelton
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Sunshine Coast

(Away)
03 Sept
Southside Eagles
2 : 1
Sunshine Coast
26 Aug
Sunshine Coast
0 : 1
Wynnum Wolves
13 Aug
SWQ Thunder
0 : 1
Sunshine Coast
30 Jul
Sunshine Coast
2 : 4
Brisbane Strikers
22 Jul
Albany Creek
0 : 2
Sunshine Coast
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brisbane City 20 20 0 0 64:12 60
2 Rochedale 20 14 1 5 57:26 43
3 SWQ Thunder 20 13 2 5 47:32 41
4 Western Pride 20 10 2 8 36:33 32
5 Ipswich Knights 20 9 3 8 41:35 30
6 Mitchelton 20 9 1 10 41:43 28
7 Southside Eagles 20 6 6 8 30:33 24
8 Sunshine Coast 20 6 5 9 33:40 23
9 Souths 20 5 0 15 28:54 15
10 Holland Park Hawks 20 3 3 14 29:54 12
11 Wynnum Wolves 20 3 1 16 18:62 10
Promotion - Queensland Premier League 2021 (Play Offs)