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Soy United vs Nairobi City Stars

Kenya Kenya

Super League
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AI Match Summary

The Super League game between Soy United and Nairobi City Stars finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Soy United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Soy United
6%
Draws
4%
Nairobi City Stars
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Soy United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Nairobi City Stars haven't matched Soy United's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Soy United a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Soy United Clean Sheet 20%
Nairobi City Stars Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Soy United Nairobi City Stars
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 8 11
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.75 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Super League
Soy United vs Nairobi City Stars
2:1
Dec 21, 2025 Super League
Nairobi City Stars vs Soy United
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Soy United 85 / 100
Nairobi City Stars 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Soy United Nairobi City Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SOY Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nairobi City Stars has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Soy United stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Nairobi City Stars's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Soy United VS Nairobi City Stars
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Soy United

(Home)
13 Jun
Luanda Villa
0 : 1
Soy United
07 Jun
Soy United
0 : 0
MOFA
01 Jun
Equity Bank
1 : 0
Soy United
28 May
Soy United
0 : 0
Kisumu All-Stars
24 May
Soy United
2 : 1
Kabati
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Nairobi City Stars

(Away)
13 Jun
Nairobi City Stars
0 : 3
Darajani Gogo
07 Jun
Talanta FC
5 : 1
Nairobi City Stars
01 Jun
Nairobi City Stars
1 : 2
Kabati
27 May
Kibera
1 : 1
Nairobi City Stars
23 May
Nairobi City Stars
0 : 0
MCF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Migori38256757:2981
23K FC38238762:2677
3Mombasa United382441051:3276
4Equity Bank382111656:2874
5MOFA381616651:3064
6Fortune Sacco381891161:4163
7Naivas FC3817101147:3061
8Talanta FC381691353:4157
9Kibera381581532:3353
10Soy United3814101431:2752
11Nzoia Sugar3812141237:3650
12Gucha Stars381281835:4144
13Luanda Villa381271930:5143
14Kabati381091932:5239
15Kisumu All-Stars381091923:4739
16Nairobi City Stars389121732:4439
17Darajani Gogo381082027:4838
18MCF389101924:4234
19Vihiga United38992029:5530
20Mwatate United38672527:6425
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)