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Soy United vs Nzoia Sugar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Kenya Kenya

Super League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Nzoia Sugar in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Nzoia Sugar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Soy United
20%
Draws
34%
Nzoia Sugar
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Soy United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Nzoia Sugar at 1 per game, Soy United at 0.8.
  • Soy United are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Super League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Soy United Clean Sheet 20%
Nzoia Sugar Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Soy United Nzoia Sugar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 11
Draws 8 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.8 1
Goals Conceded 0.7 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Super League
Soy United vs Nzoia Sugar
0:1
Jan 18, 2026 Super League
Nzoia Sugar vs Soy United
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Soy United 40 / 100
Nzoia Sugar 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Soy United Nzoia Sugar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Soy United Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nzoia Sugar conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Solid form: Soy United remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Nzoia Sugar's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Soy United VS Nzoia Sugar
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Soy United

(Home)
13 Jun
Luanda Villa
0 : 1
Soy United
07 Jun
Soy United
0 : 0
MOFA
01 Jun
Equity Bank
1 : 0
Soy United
28 May
Soy United
0 : 0
Kisumu All-Stars
24 May
Soy United
2 : 1
Kabati
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Nzoia Sugar

(Away)
13 Jun
Nzoia Sugar
1 : 0
Kibera
07 Jun
Mombasa United
1 : 0
Nzoia Sugar
01 Jun
Nzoia Sugar
3 : 1
Fortune Sacco
27 May
Talanta FC
2 : 0
Nzoia Sugar
24 May
Nzoia Sugar
0 : 1
Naivas FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Migori 38 25 6 7 57:29 81
2 3K FC 38 23 8 7 62:26 77
3 Mombasa United 38 24 4 10 51:32 76
4 Equity Bank 38 21 11 6 56:28 74
5 MOFA 38 16 16 6 51:30 64
6 Fortune Sacco 38 18 9 11 61:41 63
7 Naivas FC 38 17 10 11 47:30 61
8 Talanta FC 38 16 9 13 53:41 57
9 Kibera 38 15 8 15 32:33 53
10 Soy United 38 14 10 14 31:27 52
11 Nzoia Sugar 38 12 14 12 37:36 50
12 Gucha Stars 38 12 8 18 35:41 44
13 Luanda Villa 38 12 7 19 30:51 43
14 Kabati 38 10 9 19 32:52 39
15 Kisumu All-Stars 38 10 9 19 23:47 39
16 Nairobi City Stars 38 9 12 17 32:44 39
17 Darajani Gogo 38 10 8 20 27:48 38
18 MCF 38 9 10 19 24:42 34
19 Vihiga United 38 9 9 20 29:55 30
20 Mwatate United 38 6 7 25 27:64 25
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