Sport Picks

France

Division 1 Women 2022/2023 Stade Leo Lagrange

Montpellier W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Soyaux W play Montpellier W in the Division 1 Women 2022/2023. It looks like a close match. Recently, Soyaux W averaged 1.27 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. Montpellier W averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, Soyaux W won 0, Montpellier W won 4, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 1, 2023 ended 1:5. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.85 for Soyaux W and 1.24 for Montpellier W. This points to a Montpellier W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Soyaux W

15%

Draws

54%

Montpellier W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montpellier W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence

Soyaux W picked up more points recently compared to Montpellier W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.85 vs 1.24 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 90%

Over 2.5 Goals 74%

Over 3.5 Goals 44%

Over 4.5 Goals 22%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%

Soyaux W Clean Sheet 19%

Montpellier W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 81%

Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Soyaux W	Montpellier W
Matches Played	30	34
Wins	7	11
Draws	3	5
Losses	20	18
Goals Scored	1.27	1.5
Goals Conceded	2.13	1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2023 Premiere Ligue Women

Soyaux W vs Montpellier W

Possession: 52% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

1:5

Nov 19, 2022 Premiere Ligue Women

Montpellier W vs Soyaux W

Possession: 57% - 51% Cards: 3 - 1

2:2

May 7, 2022 Premiere Ligue Women

Montpellier W vs Soyaux W

Possession: 48% - 56% Cards: 0 - 2

3:0

Dec 12, 2021 Premiere Ligue Women

Soyaux W vs Montpellier W

Possession: 44% - 41% Cards: 3 - 3

0:1

May 21, 2021 Premiere Ligue Women

Montpellier W vs Soyaux W

Possession: 60% - 60% Cards: 3 - 4

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Soyaux W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aretouyap F.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Montpellier W Compare

Top Goalscorer Mondesir N.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Petermann L.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Soyaux W 32 / 100

Montpellier W 51 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Soyaux W Montpellier W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montpellier W Win (2)

Secondary Pick Montpellier W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +34.8%

4.35

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +8.8%

1.47

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Soyaux W attacking → ← attacking Montpellier W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Soyaux W scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Montpellier W let in goals in 88% of their last 34 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Soyaux W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Montpellier W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

24 Points in last 5 38

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Lyon W	22	20	1	1	69:9	61
2	PSG W	22	17	4	1	45:12	55
3	Paris FC W	22	12	6	4	44:18	42
4	Fleury 91 W	22	11	6	5	49:20	39
5	Montpellier W	22	11	4	7	37:27	37
6	Reims W	22	10	2	10	40:40	32
7	Bordeaux W	22	7	6	9	26:33	27
8	Le Havre W	22	7	3	12	31:45	24
9	Guingamp W	22	7	3	12	20:41	24
10	Dijon W	22	4	3	15	12:53	15
11	Rodez AF W	22	3	3	16	16:48	12
12	Soyaux W	22	1	3	18	15:58	6