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Sozopol vs Krumovgrad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - South-East
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sozopol host Krumovgrad in the Third League - South-East. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Krumovgrad have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Sozopol have conceded 1.2 and scored 1.5. Past meetings favor Sozopol slightly — 1-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 22, 2023, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.56 - 2.38) back Krumovgrad to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Sozopol
15%
Draws
54%
Krumovgrad
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Krumovgrad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sozopol lately — more wins on the board than Krumovgrad.
  • Win probability leans Krumovgrad's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Sozopol Clean Sheet 10%
Krumovgrad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sozopol Krumovgrad
Matches Played 30 9
Wins 14 8
Draws 5 0
Losses 11 1
Goals Scored 1.5 3
Goals Conceded 1.2 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 22, 2023 Vtora liga
Sozopol vs Krumovgrad
1:1
Jan 13, 2023 Club Friendly
Krumovgrad vs Sozopol
1:1
Sep 17, 2022 Vtora liga
Krumovgrad vs Sozopol
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sozopol 10 / 100
Krumovgrad 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sozopol Krumovgrad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Krumovgrad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sozopol found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Sozopol has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Defensive concern: Krumovgrad conceded in 56% of 9 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Sozopol VS Krumovgrad
2.25 Goals Scored 3.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Sozopol

(Home)
03 Oct
Maritsa Milevo
4 : 2
Sozopol
26 Sept
Sozopol
3 : 2
Sekirovo Rakovski
18 Sept
Botev II
0 : 0
Sozopol
12 Sept
Sozopol
4 : 2
Neftochimic Burgas
05 Sept
Atletik Kuklen
1 : 0
Sozopol
Page 1 of 6

Krumovgrad

(Away)
03 Oct
Krumovgrad
1 : 2
Spartak Pleven
26 Sept
Gigant Saedinenie
0 : 2
Krumovgrad
19 Sept
Maritsa Milevo
0 : 4
Krumovgrad
12 Sept
Krumovgrad
6 : 1
Sekirovo Rakovski
06 Sept
Botev II
0 : 2
Krumovgrad
Page 1 of 2

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Krumovgrad 8 8 0 0 26:7 24
2 Maritsa Milevo 9 7 0 2 21:11 21
3 Spartak Plovdiv 8 7 0 1 20:10 21
4 OFC Haskovo 8 5 2 1 15:6 17
5 Yambol 1915 8 5 1 2 24:9 16
6 Gigant Saedinenie 8 4 1 3 17:14 13
7 Neftochimic Burgas 8 4 1 3 15:12 13
8 Sozopol 9 4 1 4 19:17 13
9 Rozova Dolina 9 2 6 1 14:13 12
10 Rodopa Smolyan 8 3 2 3 13:14 11
11 Zagorets 8 3 1 4 10:15 10
12 Botev II 8 2 3 3 13:15 9
13 Dimitrovgrad 9 2 2 5 12:16 8
14 Lok. Plovdiv II 8 2 1 5 10:21 7
15 Atletik Kuklen 9 2 1 6 10:22 7
16 Sekirovo Rakovski 8 1 2 5 13:24 5
17 Levski Karlovo 8 1 0 7 5:19 3
18 Maritsa Plovdiv 9 0 2 7 5:17 2
Promotion - Vtora liga (Main)