Sport Picks
Match Events
12'
12'
Hamati L.
57'
57'
Bufi G.
Assist: Gjoni A.
66'
66'
Iuzzolino M.
AI Match Summary
SP Cosmos in this Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored SP Cosmos.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
65%
15%
20%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SP Cosmos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ High Confidence
- SP Cosmos have won more games recently than Cailungo.
- Win probability leans SP Cosmos's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
SP Cosmos Clean Sheet 68%
Cailungo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SP Cosmos | Cailungo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 12 | 2 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 10 | 24 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 0.87 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.91 | 2.37 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs Cailungo
2:1
Nov 30, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs SP Cosmos
2:2
Jan 25, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs Cailungo
2:2
Sep 22, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Cailungo vs SP Cosmos
0:5
Feb 10, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs Cailungo
9:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SP Cosmos Compare
Top Goalscorer Hamati L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Bufi G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Cailungo Compare
Top Goalscorer Lisi D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SP Cosmos 95 / 100
Cailungo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SP Cosmos Cailungo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SP Cosmos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cailungo let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 5.00 goals.
SP Cosmos went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Away concern: Cailungo has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
SP Cosmos VS Cailungo
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
SP Cosmos
(Home) 18 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2 SP Cosmos
13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1 SS Pennarossa
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1 SP Cosmos
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 SP Cosmos
29 Aug
SP Cosmos
1 : 1 AC Libertas
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1 SS Pennarossa
29 Aug
SP Cosmos
1 : 1 AC Libertas
06 May
SP Cosmos
0 : 0 Tre Penne
29 Apr
SP Cosmos
3 : 0 SS Pennarossa
26 Apr
SP Cosmos
2 : 0 SC Faetano
Page 1 of 4
Cailungo
(Away) 20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3 Cailungo
12 Sept
Cailungo
0 : 2 Tre Penne
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0 Cailungo
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0 Cailungo
28 Aug
Cailungo
1 : 2 SP Domagnano
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3 Cailungo
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0 Cailungo
05 Sept
Folgore
1 : 0 Cailungo
25 Apr
San Marino Academy U22
1 : 1 Cailungo
11 Apr
Tre Penne
6 : 1 Cailungo
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 63:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Virtus | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 76:20 | 72 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 71:18 | 70 |
| 4 | La Fiorita | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 64:25 | 57 |
| 5 | Folgore | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 67:33 | 57 |
| 6 | SP Domagnano | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 59:36 | 49 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 37:42 | 46 |
| 8 | SP Cosmos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:23 | 42 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:38 | 37 |
| 10 | AC Libertas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32:63 | 35 |
| 11 | SS Pennarossa | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:53 | 32 |
| 12 | San Giovanni | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 24:43 | 31 |
| 13 | SC Faetano | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 22:55 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 23:60 | 16 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23:71 | 11 |
| 16 | SS Murata | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 20:83 | -2 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
