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SP Cosmos vs San Giovanni

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

76' Event
Di Maio R.
Assist: Gjurchinoski B.

AI Match Summary

The Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 game between SP Cosmos and San Giovanni finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SP Cosmos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
SP Cosmos
15%
Draws
20%
San Giovanni
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SP Cosmos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and SP Cosmos come out ahead of San Giovanni on wins alone.
  • 65% — that's where the model lands on SP Cosmos taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors SP Cosmos here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%
SP Cosmos Clean Sheet 68%
San Giovanni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SP Cosmos San Giovanni
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 10 8
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1.1 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.8 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 8, 2026 Coppa Titano
San Giovanni vs SP Cosmos
0:1
Feb 7, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs San Giovanni
1:0
Oct 23, 2025 Coppa Titano
SP Cosmos vs San Giovanni
2:3
Oct 3, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs SP Cosmos
0:3
Sep 23, 2025 Coppa Titano
San Giovanni vs SP Cosmos
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SP Cosmos Compare

Top Goalscorer Di Maio R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

San Giovanni Compare

Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SP Cosmos 95 / 100
San Giovanni 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SP Cosmos San Giovanni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SP Cosmos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SP Cosmos scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

San Giovanni let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: SP Cosmos remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SP Cosmos VS San Giovanni
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

SP Cosmos

(Home)
18 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
SP Cosmos
13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1
SS Pennarossa
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1
SP Cosmos
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0
SP Cosmos
29 Aug
SP Cosmos
1 : 1
AC Libertas
Page 1 of 6

San Giovanni

(Away)
20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3
Cailungo
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
San Giovanni
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1
SP Cosmos
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0
San Giovanni
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3
Tre Penne
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tre Fiori 30 22 7 1 63:13 73
2 Virtus 30 22 6 2 76:20 72
3 Tre Penne 30 21 7 2 71:18 70
4 La Fiorita 30 17 11 2 64:25 57
5 Folgore 30 16 9 5 67:33 57
6 SP Domagnano 30 14 7 9 59:36 49
7 Fiorentino 30 14 4 12 37:42 46
8 SP Cosmos 30 11 9 10 30:23 42
9 Juvenes/Dogana 30 9 10 11 36:38 37
10 AC Libertas 30 9 8 13 32:63 35
11 SS Pennarossa 30 8 8 14 29:53 32
12 San Giovanni 30 7 10 13 24:43 31
13 SC Faetano 30 6 4 20 22:55 22
14 San Marino Academy U22 30 3 7 20 23:60 16
15 Cailungo 30 2 5 23 23:71 11
16 SS Murata 30 1 4 25 20:83 -2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)