Sport Picks
SP Cosmos vs SS Pennarossa
San Marino
Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 
Match Events
8'
8'
Islamaj K.
57'
57'
Gjurchinoski B.
71'
71'
Hamati L.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-0, with SP Cosmos advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
20%
22%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: SP Cosmos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- SP Cosmos carry the better recent record into this one.
- SP Cosmos are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- SP Cosmos have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor SP Cosmos, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
SP Cosmos Clean Sheet 68%
SS Pennarossa Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SP Cosmos | SS Pennarossa |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 34 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 7 |
| Draws | 11 | 8 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.12 | 1.1 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.97 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs SS Pennarossa
6:1
Apr 29, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs SS Pennarossa
3:0
Apr 12, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs SS Pennarossa
0:1
Dec 14, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs SP Cosmos
1:1
Feb 1, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SS Pennarossa vs SP Cosmos
2:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SP Cosmos Compare
Top Goalscorer Islamaj K.
1 Goals Assists Leader Gjurchinoski B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66
SS Pennarossa Compare
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
SP Cosmos 95 / 100
SS Pennarossa 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
SP Cosmos SS Pennarossa
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SP Cosmos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 3.60 goals.
SP Cosmos found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (34 games).
Defensive concern: SS Pennarossa conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.
SP Cosmos has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
SP Cosmos VS SS Pennarossa
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
SP Cosmos
(Home) 13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1 SS Pennarossa
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1 SP Cosmos
04 Sept
Tre Penne
2 : 0 SP Cosmos
29 Aug
SP Cosmos
1 : 1 AC Libertas
06 May
SP Cosmos
0 : 0 Tre Penne
Page 1 of 7
13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1 SS Pennarossa
29 Aug
SP Cosmos
1 : 1 AC Libertas
06 May
SP Cosmos
0 : 0 Tre Penne
29 Apr
SP Cosmos
3 : 0 SS Pennarossa
26 Apr
SP Cosmos
2 : 0 SC Faetano
Page 1 of 4
SS Pennarossa
(Away) 13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1 SS Pennarossa
09 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 0 Cailungo
06 Sept
SS Pennarossa
1 : 4 SS Murata
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2 SS Pennarossa
29 Apr
SP Cosmos
3 : 0 SS Pennarossa
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
SP Cosmos
6 : 1 SS Pennarossa
30 Aug
Tre Fiori
5 : 2 SS Pennarossa
29 Apr
SP Cosmos
3 : 0 SS Pennarossa
26 Apr
Tre Fiori
1 : 1 SS Pennarossa
12 Apr
SP Cosmos
0 : 1 SS Pennarossa
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Virtus -
TBD -
Juvenes/Dogana 1
AC Libertas 1
Folgore -
TBD -
TBD -
SP Domagnano -
Tre Penne -
TBD -
SP Cosmos 3
SS Pennarossa 0
La Fiorita -
TBD -
TBD -
Fiorentino -
Quarter-finals
Virtus 2
Juvenes/Dogana 0
Folgore 2
SP Domagnano 3
Tre Penne 0
SP Cosmos 0
La Fiorita 3
Fiorentino 3
Semi-finals
Virtus 3
SP Domagnano 3
Tre Penne 1
La Fiorita 2
Final
Virtus 2
La Fiorita 1
SP Domagnano 1
Tre Penne 3
