Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SP Cosmos vs Tre Fiori

San Marino San Marino

Coppa Titano
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Mema M.
Assist: Benedettini F.
41' Event
Mema M.
74' Event
Benedettini F.
Assist: Mema M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Tre Fiori advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
SP Cosmos
33%
Draws
27%
Tre Fiori
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: SP Cosmos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Tre Fiori carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans SP Cosmos's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Tre Fiori arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tre Fiori, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Tre Fiori have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24.8%
SP Cosmos Clean Sheet 68%
Tre Fiori Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SP Cosmos Tre Fiori
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 12 20
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1 2
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs SP Cosmos
3:0
Dec 10, 2025 Coppa Titano
Tre Fiori vs SP Cosmos
3:1
Nov 26, 2025 Coppa Titano
SP Cosmos vs Tre Fiori
0:4
Aug 30, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Cosmos vs Tre Fiori
0:1
Apr 6, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Tre Fiori vs SP Cosmos
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SP Cosmos Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Tre Fiori Compare

Top Goalscorer Mema M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Benedettini F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SP Cosmos 50 / 100
Tre Fiori 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SP Cosmos Tre Fiori

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

SP Cosmos found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (32 games).

Solid form: SP Cosmos remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Tre Fiori lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SP Cosmos VS Tre Fiori
1 Goals Scored 2
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SP Cosmos

(Home)
06 May
SP Cosmos
0 : 0
Tre Penne
03 May
Tre Penne
0 : 0
SP Cosmos
29 Apr
SP Cosmos
3 : 0
SS Pennarossa
26 Apr
SP Cosmos
2 : 0
SC Faetano
19 Apr
La Fiorita
3 : 1
SP Cosmos
Page 1 of 7

Tre Fiori

(Away)
14 Jul
Larne
2 : 1
Tre Fiori
07 Jul
Tre Fiori
0 : 1
Larne
23 May
Tre Fiori
1 : 3
La Fiorita
26 Apr
Tre Fiori
1 : 1
SS Pennarossa
19 Apr
SC Faetano
0 : 1
Tre Fiori
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Virtus-
TBD-
Cailungo2
AC Libertas3
San Giovanni3
SP Cosmos4
Tre Fiori4
SS Pennarossa1
Tre Penne5
SP Domagnano2
Fiorentino2
Juvenes/Dogana5
SS Murata3
SC Faetano1
Folgore0
La Fiorita1
Quarter-finals
Virtus6
AC Libertas1
SP Cosmos1
Tre Fiori7
Tre Penne1
Juvenes/Dogana2
SS Murata2
La Fiorita4
Semi-finals
Virtus0
Tre Fiori1
Juvenes/Dogana1
La Fiorita2
Final
Tre Fiori1
La Fiorita3