Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SP Domagnano vs La Fiorita - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Santi S.
61' Event
Fusco M.
Own Goal
87' Event
Perazzini D.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

La Fiorita in this Campionato Sammarinese matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored La Fiorita.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
SP Domagnano
30%
Draws
28%
La Fiorita
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SP Domagnano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to La Fiorita lately — more wins on the board than SP Domagnano.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on SP Domagnano taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
SP Domagnano Clean Sheet 19%
La Fiorita Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SP Domagnano La Fiorita
Matches Played 31 39
Wins 14 19
Draws 4 12
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.84 1.64
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs La Fiorita
1:2
Apr 11, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs La Fiorita
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs SP Domagnano
1:1
Mar 16, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
La Fiorita vs SP Domagnano
3:0
Nov 23, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs La Fiorita
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SP Domagnano Compare

Top Goalscorer Santi S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

La Fiorita Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SP Domagnano 49 / 100
La Fiorita 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SP Domagnano La Fiorita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SP Domagnano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: SP Domagnano scored in 87% of their last 31 outings.

La Fiorita let in goals in 64% of their last 39 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

SP Domagnano has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SP Domagnano VS La Fiorita
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SP Domagnano

(Home)
19 Sept
SP Domagnano
1 : 2
La Fiorita
11 Sept
Tre Fiori
3 : 0
SP Domagnano
08 Sept
SP Domagnano
3 : 1
SC Faetano
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0
San Giovanni
28 Aug
Cailungo
1 : 2
SP Domagnano
Page 1 of 7

La Fiorita

(Away)
19 Sept
SP Domagnano
1 : 2
La Fiorita
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1
La Fiorita
06 Sept
La Fiorita
1 : 1
San Marino Academy U22
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0
La Fiorita
25 Aug
Tre Fiori
3 : 2
La Fiorita
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 5 5 0 0 15:2 15
2 Tre Penne 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
5 La Fiorita 5 2 3 0 7:3 9
6 AC Libertas 5 2 2 1 6:6 8
7 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
8 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
11 Cailungo 5 1 0 4 5:7 3
12 San Giovanni 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 SS Murata 5 1 0 4 4:13 3
14 SS Pennarossa 5 1 0 4 8:21 3
15 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)