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SP Domagnano vs Virtus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SP Domagnano host Virtus in the Campionato Sammarinese. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. SP Domagnano have averaged 1.8 scored and 1.57 conceded recently, against Virtus's 2.1 scored and 0.86 conceded. Past meetings favor Virtus slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 12, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.50) point toward Virtus. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
SP Domagnano
15%
Draws
50%
Virtus
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Virtus

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Virtus have won more games recently than SP Domagnano.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
SP Domagnano Clean Sheet 16%
Virtus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SP Domagnano Virtus
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 18
Draws 4 6
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 1.8 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.57 0.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs Virtus
2:1
May 9, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs SP Domagnano
2:1
Mar 22, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs SP Domagnano
3:2
Nov 29, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
SP Domagnano vs Virtus
1:0
Jan 21, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Virtus vs SP Domagnano
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SP Domagnano 31 / 100
Virtus 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SP Domagnano Virtus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Virtus Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SP Domagnano's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

SP Domagnano went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Virtus conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

SP Domagnano VS Virtus
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SP Domagnano

(Home)
19 Sept
SP Domagnano
1 : 2
La Fiorita
11 Sept
Tre Fiori
3 : 0
SP Domagnano
08 Sept
SP Domagnano
3 : 1
SC Faetano
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0
San Giovanni
28 Aug
Cailungo
1 : 2
SP Domagnano
Page 1 of 6

Virtus

(Away)
18 Sept
Tre Fiori
2 : 3
Virtus
12 Sept
Virtus
2 : 0
AC Libertas
09 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 3
Virtus
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Virtus
30 Aug
Virtus
0 : 0
La Fiorita
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Folgore 4 4 0 0 10:1 12
2 Tre Penne 4 4 0 0 9:2 12
3 Virtus 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Tre Fiori 4 3 0 1 14:5 9
5 SP Cosmos 4 2 1 1 9:4 7
6 SP Domagnano 4 2 0 2 7:6 6
7 La Fiorita 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
8 AC Libertas 4 1 2 1 4:5 5
9 Fiorentino 4 1 1 2 4:5 4
10 Juvenes/Dogana 4 1 0 3 6:6 3
11 Cailungo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
12 SS Murata 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
13 San Giovanni 4 1 0 3 4:10 3
14 SS Pennarossa 4 1 0 3 7:16 3
15 San Marino Academy U22 4 0 2 2 1:5 2
16 SC Faetano 4 0 2 2 1:9 2
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese (Play Offs)