Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Sp. Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Feliciano Cáceres, Luque
Sp. Luqueno Logo

Sp. Luqueno

1 - 2
FT
Libertad Asuncion Logo

Libertad Asuncion

Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Flores G.
Own Goal
45' Event
Gimenez N.
Assist: Campuzano A.
46'
Sub
Ramos J. In: Perez M.
Out: Ramos J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. This leg finished 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Sp. Luqueno
20%
Draws
57%
Libertad Asuncion
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Libertad Asuncion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Libertad Asuncion lately — more wins on the board than Sp. Luqueno.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Libertad Asuncion taking it.
  • Libertad Asuncion arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Libertad Asuncion, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Libertad Asuncion here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Sp. Luqueno Clean Sheet 16%
Libertad Asuncion Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sp. Luqueno Libertad Asuncion
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 14
Draws 6 4
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.03 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion
1:2
May 10, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion
2:3
Mar 7, 2026 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Sp. Luqueno
1:0
Sep 13, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Libertad Asuncion
1:4
Jul 5, 2025 Copa de Primera
Libertad Asuncion vs Sp. Luqueno
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sp. Luqueno Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Libertad Asuncion Compare

Top Goalscorer Gimenez N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sp. Luqueno 11 / 100
Libertad Asuncion 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sp. Luqueno Libertad Asuncion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Libertad Asuncion Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sp. Luqueno scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Libertad Asuncion has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Sp. Luqueno remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sp. Luqueno VS Libertad Asuncion
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Sp. Luqueno

(Home)
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1
Guarani
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0
Recoleta
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0
Sp. Luqueno
06 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2
Sportivo Ameliano
01 Sept
2 de Mayo
2 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
Page 1 of 6

Libertad Asuncion

(Away)
23 Sept
Fernando de la Mora
1 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
19 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
1 : 1
Sportivo Ameliano
11 Sept
2 de Mayo
0 : 2
Libertad Asuncion
06 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
4 : 2
Rubio Nu
02 Sept
Nacional Asuncion
3 : 0
Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Libertad Asuncion 11 7 2 2 19:12 23
2 Nacional Asuncion 12 6 4 2 19:7 22
3 2 de Mayo 12 6 4 2 14:13 22
4 Olimpia Asuncion 11 7 1 3 20:9 22
5 Guarani 12 5 5 2 13:9 20
6 Sportivo Trinidense 12 6 2 4 20:11 20
7 Sportivo Ameliano 12 4 6 2 14:13 18
8 Cerro Porteno 12 5 2 5 15:12 17
9 Sp. Luqueno 12 4 1 7 12:21 13
10 Rubio Nu 12 2 3 7 13:23 9
11 Recoleta 11 2 1 8 13:24 7
12 San Lorenzo 11 0 1 10 3:21 1
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)