Sport Picks
Sp. Luqueno vs Recoleta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Feliciano Cáceres, Luque 
Match Events
9'
9'
Dominguez R.
12'
12'
Comas L.
30'
30'
Wiechniak F.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sp. Luqueno
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
34%
/ Low Confidence
- Recoleta's 1.38 goals per match outpaces what Sp. Luqueno have produced (1.14).
- 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Sp. Luqueno, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Sp. Luqueno here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Sp. Luqueno Clean Sheet 19%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sp. Luqueno | Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 16 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Recoleta
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Recoleta
2:1
Feb 13, 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Sp. Luqueno
1:2
Nov 7, 2025 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Sp. Luqueno
2:3
Aug 23, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Recoleta
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sp. Luqueno Compare
Top Goalscorer Comas L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Balbuena A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Recoleta Compare
Top Goalscorer Parzajuk K.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sp. Luqueno 36 / 100
Recoleta 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sp. Luqueno Recoleta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Recoleta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recoleta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
Attacking prowess: Sp. Luqueno scored in 69% of their last 29 outings.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Difficult form: Recoleta registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Sp. Luqueno VS Recoleta
1 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Sp. Luqueno
(Home) 05 Oct
Sportivo Trinidense
3 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
01 Oct
Olimpia Asuncion
1 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1 Guarani
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0 Recoleta
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
Page 1 of 6
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1 Guarani
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0 Recoleta
06 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2 Sportivo Ameliano
28 Aug
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
16 Aug
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
Page 1 of 3
Recoleta
(Away) 05 Oct
Recoleta
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0 Recoleta
24 Sept
Recoleta
3 : 1 Guairena FC
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0 Recoleta
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 6
28 Sept
San Lorenzo
0 : 0 Recoleta
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0 Recoleta
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0 Recoleta
26 Aug
Deportivo Santani
0 : 2 Recoleta
22 Aug
Sportivo Ameliano
3 : 1 Recoleta
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 22 | 15 | 4 | 3 | 37:17 | 49 |
| 2 | Nacional Asuncion | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 31:22 | 39 |
| 3 | Cerro Porteno | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 30:22 | 38 |
| 4 | Sportivo Ameliano | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 27:21 | 33 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 30:24 | 32 |
| 6 | Libertad Asuncion | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 34:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Guarani | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 27:23 | 29 |
| 8 | Recoleta | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 35:32 | 28 |
| 9 | Rubio Nu | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 15:26 | 23 |
| 10 | 2 de Mayo | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 18:35 | 22 |
| 11 | Sp. Luqueno | 22 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 24:33 | 20 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 22 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 14:41 | 15 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
