Sport Picks
Sp. Luqueno vs Recoleta
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Feliciano Cáceres, Luque 
Match Events
20'
20'
Rios P.
38'
38'
Charpentier P.
39'
39'
Sub
Falcon J. In: Schupp M.
Out: Falcon J.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sp. Luqueno
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Recoleta come out ahead of Sp. Luqueno on wins alone.
- Sp. Luqueno are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Recoleta arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Sp. Luqueno, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Sp. Luqueno have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Sp. Luqueno Clean Sheet 20%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sp. Luqueno | Recoleta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 34 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.07 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.57 | 1.74 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 20, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Recoleta
1:0
Apr 11, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Recoleta
2:1
Feb 13, 2026 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Sp. Luqueno
1:2
Nov 7, 2025 Copa de Primera
Recoleta vs Sp. Luqueno
2:3
Aug 23, 2025 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Recoleta
0:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sp. Luqueno Compare
Top Goalscorer Ojeda M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88
Recoleta Compare
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sp. Luqueno 58 / 100
Recoleta 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sp. Luqueno Recoleta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sp. Luqueno Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Recoleta has conceded goals in 85% of their last 34 outings.
Recoleta lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Sp. Luqueno found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).
H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Sp. Luqueno VS Recoleta
1.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Sp. Luqueno
(Home) 20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0 Recoleta
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0 Sp. Luqueno
06 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2 Sportivo Ameliano
01 Sept
2 de Mayo
2 : 2 Sp. Luqueno
28 Aug
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0 Recoleta
06 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2 Sportivo Ameliano
28 Aug
Sp. Luqueno
2 : 1 Rubio Nu
16 Aug
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2 Libertad Asuncion
29 Jul
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 4 Sportivo Trinidense
Page 1 of 3
Recoleta
(Away) 20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0 Recoleta
12 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Sportivo Trinidense
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0 Recoleta
03 Sept
Recoleta
1 : 3 Cerro Porteno
29 Aug
Recoleta
1 : 2 Olimpia Asuncion
Page 1 of 7
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0 Recoleta
07 Sept
Guarani
2 : 0 Recoleta
26 Aug
Deportivo Santani
0 : 2 Recoleta
22 Aug
Sportivo Ameliano
3 : 1 Recoleta
11 Aug
Boca Juniors
3 : 1 Recoleta
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 21:9 | 25 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 19:13 | 23 |
| 3 | Nacional Asuncion | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:7 | 22 |
| 4 | 2 de Mayo | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 14:13 | 22 |
| 5 | Guarani | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 13:9 | 20 |
| 6 | Sportivo Trinidense | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 20:11 | 20 |
| 7 | Sportivo Ameliano | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 14:13 | 18 |
| 8 | Cerro Porteno | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 12:21 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:23 | 9 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 13:24 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3:21 | 2 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
