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Sp. Luqueno vs Rubio Nu Prediction & H2H Stats

Paraguay Paraguay

Copa de Primera Estadio Feliciano Cáceres, Luque
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Perez M.
Assist: Morales L.
45'
Nunez C.
46'
Sub
Ruiz Diaz R. In: Roldan M.
Out: Ruiz Diaz R.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sp. Luqueno
20%
Draws
40%
Rubio Nu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Rubio Nu have won more games recently than Sp. Luqueno.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Rubio Nu arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Sp. Luqueno, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Sp. Luqueno Clean Sheet 16%
Rubio Nu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sp. Luqueno Rubio Nu
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 5 5
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.04 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Rubio Nu
2:1
May 2, 2026 Copa de Primera
Rubio Nu vs Sp. Luqueno
0:0
Mar 2, 2026 Copa de Primera
Sp. Luqueno vs Rubio Nu
0:1
Jul 17, 2022 Division Intermedia
Sp. Luqueno vs Rubio Nu
2:1
Apr 8, 2022 Division Intermedia
Rubio Nu vs Sp. Luqueno
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Sp. Luqueno Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ruiz O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Rubio Nu Compare

Top Goalscorer Paredes K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sp. Luqueno 31 / 100
Rubio Nu 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sp. Luqueno Rubio Nu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sp. Luqueno scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Rubio Nu has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Rubio Nu has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Sp. Luqueno VS Rubio Nu
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Sp. Luqueno

(Home)
25 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
0 : 1
Guarani
20 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 0
Recoleta
13 Sept
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 0
Sp. Luqueno
06 Sept
Sp. Luqueno
1 : 2
Sportivo Ameliano
01 Sept
2 de Mayo
2 : 2
Sp. Luqueno
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Rubio Nu

(Away)
26 Sept
Rubio Nu
2 : 2
2 de Mayo
19 Sept
Cerro Porteno
1 : 0
Rubio Nu
13 Sept
Rubio Nu
0 : 1
Nacional Asuncion
06 Sept
Libertad Asuncion
4 : 2
Rubio Nu
01 Sept
Rubio Nu
3 : 1
San Lorenzo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpia Asuncion 12 8 1 3 21:9 25
2 Libertad Asuncion 12 7 2 3 19:13 23
3 Nacional Asuncion 12 6 4 2 19:7 22
4 2 de Mayo 12 6 4 2 14:13 22
5 Guarani 12 5 5 2 13:9 20
6 Sportivo Trinidense 12 6 2 4 20:11 20
7 Sportivo Ameliano 12 4 6 2 14:13 18
8 Cerro Porteno 12 5 2 5 15:12 17
9 Sp. Luqueno 12 4 1 7 12:21 13
10 Rubio Nu 12 2 3 7 13:23 9
11 Recoleta 12 2 2 8 13:24 8
12 San Lorenzo 12 0 2 10 3:21 2
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)