Sport Picks
Sp. Luqueno vs San Lorenzo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Copa de Primera Estadio Feliciano Cáceres, Luque 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 0-2. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Little to choose between these two on current form. San Lorenzo have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Sp. Luqueno have conceded 1.62 and scored 1.14. Past meetings favor San Lorenzo slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 9, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.50 - 1.06) back Sp. Luqueno to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Sp. Luqueno lately — more wins on the board than San Lorenzo.
- Win probability leans Sp. Luqueno's way, sitting at 36%.
- Sp. Luqueno have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor San Lorenzo, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sp. Luqueno | San Lorenzo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 5 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 16 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 0.61 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.62 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sp. Luqueno's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
San Lorenzo has conceded goals in 79% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Sp. Luqueno remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Sp. Luqueno
(Home)San Lorenzo
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Olimpia Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 22:10 | 26 |
| 2 | Libertad Asuncion | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 21:14 | 26 |
| 3 | 2 de Mayo | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 16:13 | 25 |
| 4 | Nacional Asuncion | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 20:8 | 23 |
| 5 | Sportivo Trinidense | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 23:13 | 23 |
| 6 | Guarani | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 14:10 | 21 |
| 7 | Sportivo Ameliano | 13 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 8 | Cerro Porteno | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 9 | Sp. Luqueno | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 14:24 | 13 |
| 10 | Rubio Nu | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 15:24 | 12 |
| 11 | Recoleta | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14:26 | 8 |
| 12 | San Lorenzo | 13 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 4:22 | 3 |
