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SP Villafranca vs CD Azuaga

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026
SP Villafranca Logo

SP Villafranca

0 - 2
FT
CD Azuaga Logo

CD Azuaga

Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Vera A.
80' Event
Marquez A.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

CD Azuaga in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Azuaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
SP Villafranca
20%
Draws
57%
CD Azuaga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CD Azuaga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Azuaga have won more games recently than SP Villafranca.
  • Win probability leans CD Azuaga's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
SP Villafranca Clean Sheet 10%
CD Azuaga Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SP Villafranca CD Azuaga
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 15 19
Draws 6 6
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.38 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.28 0.84
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs CD Azuaga
1:4
Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs CD Azuaga
0:2
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs SP Villafranca
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs CD Azuaga
1:3
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs SP Villafranca
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SP Villafranca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

CD Azuaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Vera A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marquez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SP Villafranca 10 / 100
CD Azuaga 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SP Villafranca CD Azuaga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Azuaga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SP Villafranca found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

CD Azuaga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 56% of 32 matches.

Solid form: SP Villafranca remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

SP Villafranca VS CD Azuaga
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
2.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SP Villafranca

(Home)
20 Sept
SP Villafranca
0 : 1
Villanovense
12 Sept
Guadiana
0 : 2
SP Villafranca
06 Sept
SP Villafranca
1 : 4
CD Azuaga
08 Aug
SP Villafranca
3 : 3
CD Badajoz
29 Jul
SP Villafranca
1 : 5
CD Extremadura
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CD Azuaga

(Away)
20 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
1 : 2
CD Azuaga
13 Sept
CD Azuaga
2 : 0
Montijo
06 Sept
SP Villafranca
1 : 4
CD Azuaga
23 May
Moralo
0 : 0
CD Azuaga
17 May
CD Azuaga
0 : 1
Moralo
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Don Benito 34 21 8 5 70:22 71
2 CD Badajoz 34 23 5 6 64:27 71
3 Moralo 34 17 11 6 54:32 62
4 CD Azuaga 34 18 8 8 53:31 62
5 Jaraiz 34 16 11 7 53:33 59
6 Cabeza del Buey 34 15 12 7 45:29 57
7 SP Villafranca 34 16 7 11 45:40 55
8 Villanovense 34 15 8 11 45:36 53
9 Montijo 34 13 7 14 43:42 46
10 Jerez CF 34 8 17 9 56:51 41
11 AD Llerenense 34 11 8 15 35:44 41
12 Puebla de la Calzada 34 9 11 14 35:48 38
13 Santa Amalia 34 9 7 18 30:52 34
14 Gevora 34 8 9 17 32:53 33
15 Pueblonuevo 34 9 6 19 29:55 33
16 CD Diocesano 34 6 12 16 33:63 30
17 Montehermoso 34 5 8 21 24:66 23
18 CD Calamonte 34 3 13 18 25:47 22
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2025/2026 (Play Offs)