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SP Villafranca vs CD Azuaga

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Vera A.
80' Event
Marquez A.

AI Match Summary

CD Azuaga in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Azuaga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
SP Villafranca
33%
Draws
27%
CD Azuaga
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: SP Villafranca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • CD Azuaga have won more games recently than SP Villafranca.
  • Win probability leans SP Villafranca's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
SP Villafranca Clean Sheet 68%
CD Azuaga Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SP Villafranca CD Azuaga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 15
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.38 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs CD Azuaga
0:2
Dec 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs SP Villafranca
1:1
Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs CD Azuaga
1:3
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs SP Villafranca
1:1
May 26, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CD Azuaga vs SP Villafranca
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SP Villafranca Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

CD Azuaga Compare

Top Goalscorer Vera A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marquez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SP Villafranca 50 / 100
CD Azuaga 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SP Villafranca CD Azuaga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SP Villafranca found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: SP Villafranca stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: CD Azuaga conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

SP Villafranca VS CD Azuaga
1.38 Goals Scored 2.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Don Benito34218570:2271
2CD Badajoz34235664:2771
3Moralo341711654:3262
4CD Azuaga34188853:3162
5Jaraiz341611753:3359
6Cabeza del Buey341512745:2957
7SP Villafranca341671145:4055
8Villanovense341581145:3653
9Montijo341371443:4246
10Jerez CF34817956:5141
11AD Llerenense341181535:4441
12Puebla de la Calzada349111435:4838
13Santa Amalia34971830:5234
14Gevora34891732:5333
15Pueblonuevo34961929:5533
16CD Diocesano346121633:6330
17Montehermoso34582124:6623
18CD Calamonte343131825:4722