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SP Villafranca vs CF Trujillo Prediction & H2H Stats

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Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025
Sun, Feb 2, 2025
0 - 3
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SP Villafranca host CF Trujillo in the Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. CF Trujillo have shipped 1.9 goals a game lately, while SP Villafranca have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.62. Head-to-head, SP Villafranca have won 2 to CF Trujillo's 3, with 0 draws. They last met on Feb 2, 2025, ending 0:3. The numbers (1.17 xG vs 1.00) point toward SP Villafranca. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
SP Villafranca
15%
Draws
36%
CF Trujillo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: SP Villafranca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • SP Villafranca have won more games recently than CF Trujillo.
  • Win probability leans SP Villafranca's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
SP Villafranca Clean Sheet 20%
CF Trujillo Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SP Villafranca CF Trujillo
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 16 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 12 17
Goals Scored 1.62 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs CF Trujillo
0:3
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs SP Villafranca
2:1
May 12, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs CF Trujillo
2:0
Jan 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
CF Trujillo vs SP Villafranca
1:0
Apr 6, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs CF Trujillo
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SP Villafranca 49 / 100
CF Trujillo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SP Villafranca CF Trujillo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SP Villafranca Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CF Trujillo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

SP Villafranca's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

CF Trujillo's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

SP Villafranca VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

SP Villafranca

(Home)
27 Sept
Jaraiz
2 : 1
SP Villafranca
20 Sept
SP Villafranca
0 : 1
Villanovense
12 Sept
Guadiana
0 : 2
SP Villafranca
06 Sept
SP Villafranca
1 : 4
CD Azuaga
08 Aug
SP Villafranca
3 : 3
CD Badajoz
Page 1 of 7

CF Trujillo

(Away)
23 Aug
CD Diocesano
2 : 1
CF Trujillo
11 May
CF Trujillo
2 : 4
CD Azuaga
04 May
Castuera
1 : 2
CF Trujillo
30 Apr
Puebla de la Calzada
2 : 0
CF Trujillo
27 Apr
CF Trujillo
0 : 1
CD Badajoz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 23 6 5 73:22 75
2 CD Azuaga 34 20 11 3 65:28 71
3 Jaraiz 34 21 6 7 65:40 69
4 AD Llerenense 34 21 5 8 58:28 68
5 CD Badajoz 34 17 12 5 54:20 63
6 CD Diocesano 34 17 7 10 58:38 58
7 Santa Amalia 34 16 6 12 31:31 54
8 Jerez CF 34 14 9 11 50:48 51
9 SP Villafranca 34 14 5 15 55:55 47
10 Moralo 34 13 7 14 52:50 46
11 Montijo 34 11 12 11 35:34 45
12 Pueblonuevo 34 9 9 16 42:71 36
13 CD Calamonte 34 8 9 17 36:48 33
14 Puebla de la Calzada 34 7 11 16 35:56 32
15 Castuera 34 7 8 19 46:64 29
16 CF Trujillo 34 6 10 18 32:63 28
17 Arroyo 34 5 7 22 32:70 22
18 Olivenza FC 34 3 8 23 26:79 17
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 14 2024/2025 (Play Offs)