Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
SP Villafranca play Jaraiz in the Tercera RFEF - Group 14. It looks like a close match. Recently, SP Villafranca averaged 1.38 goals scored and 0.75 conceded. Jaraiz averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. In past meetings, SP Villafranca won 2, Jaraiz won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 15, 2026 ended 2:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.31 for SP Villafranca and 1.00 for Jaraiz. This points to a SP Villafranca double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- SP Villafranca has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Jaraiz.
- Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for SP Villafranca.
- League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 14 provide steady trend data.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | SP Villafranca | Jaraiz |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 32 |
| Wins | 16 | 14 |
| Draws | 6 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
SP Villafranca Compare
Jaraiz Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
SP Villafranca scored in 81% of their last 32 games.
Jaraiz let in goals in 63% of their last 32 matches.
Games between these two average 3.80 goals.
SP Villafranca went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Jaraiz lost 1 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Don Benito | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 70:22 | 71 |
| 2 | CD Badajoz | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 64:27 | 71 |
| 3 | Moralo | 34 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 4 | CD Azuaga | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 5 | Jaraiz | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 53:33 | 59 |
| 6 | Cabeza del Buey | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 45:29 | 57 |
| 7 | SP Villafranca | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 45:40 | 55 |
| 8 | Villanovense | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 45:36 | 53 |
| 9 | Montijo | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 43:42 | 46 |
| 10 | Jerez CF | 34 | 8 | 17 | 9 | 56:51 | 41 |
| 11 | AD Llerenense | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 35:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Puebla de la Calzada | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:48 | 38 |
| 13 | Santa Amalia | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 30:52 | 34 |
| 14 | Gevora | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 32:53 | 33 |
| 15 | Pueblonuevo | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 29:55 | 33 |
| 16 | CD Diocesano | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 33:63 | 30 |
| 17 | Montehermoso | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 24:66 | 23 |
| 18 | CD Calamonte | 34 | 3 | 13 | 18 | 25:47 | 22 |