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SP Villafranca vs Jerez CF

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SP Villafranca in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SP Villafranca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
SP Villafranca
20%
Draws
51%
Jerez CF
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jerez CF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SP Villafranca lately — more wins on the board than Jerez CF.
  • Model gives Jerez CF a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
SP Villafranca Clean Sheet 13%
Jerez CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SP Villafranca Jerez CF
Matches Played 31 32
Wins 15 10
Draws 6 13
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.39 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.26 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs Jerez CF
2:1
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs SP Villafranca
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 Club Friendly
SP Villafranca vs Jerez CF
1:0
Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs Jerez CF
3:2
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs SP Villafranca
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SP Villafranca 22 / 100
Jerez CF 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SP Villafranca Jerez CF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Jerez CF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SP Villafranca scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Jerez CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

SP Villafranca has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SP Villafranca VS Jerez CF
2 Goals Scored 1.25
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

SP Villafranca

(Home)
20 Sept
SP Villafranca
0 : 1
Villanovense
12 Sept
Guadiana
0 : 2
SP Villafranca
06 Sept
SP Villafranca
1 : 4
CD Azuaga
08 Aug
SP Villafranca
3 : 3
CD Badajoz
29 Jul
SP Villafranca
1 : 5
CD Extremadura
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Jerez CF

(Away)
20 Sept
Jerez CF
1 : 2
Castuera
13 Sept
Cabeza del Buey
0 : 1
Jerez CF
06 Sept
Jerez CF
2 : 2
Puebla de la Calzada
10 May
Jerez CF
5 : 1
Montehermoso
03 May
SP Villafranca
2 : 1
Jerez CF
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