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SP Villafranca vs Jerez CF

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SP Villafranca in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored SP Villafranca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
SP Villafranca
6%
Draws
4%
Jerez CF
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: SP Villafranca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SP Villafranca lately — more wins on the board than Jerez CF.
  • Model gives SP Villafranca a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
SP Villafranca Clean Sheet 19%
Jerez CF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SP Villafranca Jerez CF
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 8
Draws 6 14
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.38 1.75
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs Jerez CF
2:1
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs SP Villafranca
1:1
Aug 23, 2025 Club Friendly
SP Villafranca vs Jerez CF
1:0
Apr 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs Jerez CF
3:2
Nov 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Jerez CF vs SP Villafranca
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SP Villafranca 85 / 100
Jerez CF 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SP Villafranca Jerez CF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SP Villafranca scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Jerez CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

SP Villafranca has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

SP Villafranca VS Jerez CF
1.38 Goals Scored 1.75
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%