Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14

SP Villafranca

0 - 1

Moralo

Our Tip

Match Events

41'

Andrada D.

Own Goal

45'

Taoualy O.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Moralo in this Tercera RFEF - Group 14 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Moralo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

SP Villafranca

28%

Draws

22%

Moralo

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: SP Villafranca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Moralo have won more games recently than SP Villafranca.
Win probability leans SP Villafranca's way, sitting at 50%.
Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 14 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

SP Villafranca Clean Sheet 68%

Moralo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	SP Villafranca	Moralo
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	14	16
Draws	6	9
Losses	10	7
Goals Scored	1.88	1.25
Goals Conceded	1.13	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

SP Villafranca vs Moralo

Possession: 46% - 52% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

Sep 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Moralo vs SP Villafranca

Possession: 55% - 51% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

SP Villafranca vs Moralo

Possession: 43% - 58% Cards: 4 - 3

1:0

Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Moralo vs SP Villafranca

Possession: 59% - 41% Cards: 2 - 4

3:1

Feb 25, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

SP Villafranca vs Moralo

Possession: 55% - 46% Cards: 3 - 3

0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SP Villafranca 59 / 100

Moralo 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

SP Villafranca Moralo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SP Villafranca found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

SP Villafranca has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Moralo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 32 matches.

Scoring Trends

SP Villafranca VS Moralo

1.88 Goals Scored 1.25

1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88

75% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 25%

25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Don Benito	34	21	8	5	70:22	71
2	CD Badajoz	34	23	5	6	64:27	71
3	Moralo	34	17	11	6	54:32	62
4	CD Azuaga	34	18	8	8	53:31	62
5	Jaraiz	34	16	11	7	53:33	59
6	Cabeza del Buey	34	15	12	7	45:29	57
7	SP Villafranca	34	16	7	11	45:40	55
8	Villanovense	34	15	8	11	45:36	53
9	Montijo	34	13	7	14	43:42	46
10	Jerez CF	34	8	17	9	56:51	41
11	AD Llerenense	34	11	8	15	35:44	41
12	Puebla de la Calzada	34	9	11	14	35:48	38
13	Santa Amalia	34	9	7	18	30:52	34
14	Gevora	34	8	9	17	32:53	33
15	Pueblonuevo	34	9	6	19	29:55	33
16	CD Diocesano	34	6	12	16	33:63	30
17	Montehermoso	34	5	8	21	24:66	23
18	CD Calamonte	34	3	13	18	25:47	22