Sport Picks

Stadium Background

SP Villafranca vs Pueblonuevo

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Rodriguez D.
27' Event
Minon J.
78' Event
Andrada D.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 14 game between SP Villafranca and Pueblonuevo finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward SP Villafranca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
SP Villafranca
28%
Draws
22%
Pueblonuevo
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: SP Villafranca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • SP Villafranca has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Pueblonuevo.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for SP Villafranca.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera RFEF - Group 14 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
SP Villafranca Clean Sheet 68%
Pueblonuevo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric SP Villafranca Pueblonuevo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 1.38 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs Pueblonuevo
4:0
Sep 21, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Pueblonuevo vs SP Villafranca
1:3
Jan 26, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Pueblonuevo vs SP Villafranca
2:1
Sep 15, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs Pueblonuevo
3:0
Mar 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
SP Villafranca vs Pueblonuevo
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

SP Villafranca Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrada D.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Pueblonuevo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

SP Villafranca 59 / 100
Pueblonuevo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
SP Villafranca Pueblonuevo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SP Villafranca scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Pueblonuevo let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

SP Villafranca went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Pueblonuevo lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

SP Villafranca VS Pueblonuevo
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Don Benito34218570:2271
2CD Badajoz34235664:2771
3Moralo341711654:3262
4CD Azuaga34188853:3162
5Jaraiz341611753:3359
6Cabeza del Buey341512745:2957
7SP Villafranca341671145:4055
8Villanovense341581145:3653
9Montijo341371443:4246
10Jerez CF34817956:5141
11AD Llerenense341181535:4441
12Puebla de la Calzada349111435:4838
13Santa Amalia34971830:5234
14Gevora34891732:5333
15Pueblonuevo34961929:5533
16CD Diocesano346121633:6330
17Montehermoso34582124:6623
18CD Calamonte343131825:4722