Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 14 2010/2011

Sp. Villanueva

3 - 1

Imperio Merida

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Sp. Villanueva in this Tercera Division - Group 14 2010/2011 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sp. Villanueva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Sp. Villanueva

Draws

Imperio Merida

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Sp. Villanueva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Sp. Villanueva have won more games recently than Imperio Merida.
90% — that's where the model lands on Sp. Villanueva taking it.
Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2010/2011 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Sp. Villanueva have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%

Sp. Villanueva Clean Sheet 20%

Imperio Merida Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Sp. Villanueva	Imperio Merida
Matches Played	35	30
Wins	4	3
Draws	7	3
Losses	24	24
Goals Scored	0.13	0
Goals Conceded	1.25	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Sp. Villanueva vs Imperio Merida

Possession: 42% - 43% Cards: 3 - 3

3:1

Oct 10, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Imperio Merida vs Sp. Villanueva

Possession: 44% - 51% Cards: 1 - 0

1:3

Feb 13, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Sp. Villanueva vs Imperio Merida

Possession: 55% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Oct 4, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Imperio Merida vs Sp. Villanueva

Possession: 45% - 60% Cards: 4 - 1

0:1

Apr 26, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 14

Sp. Villanueva vs Imperio Merida

Possession: 41% - 58% Cards: 1 - 2

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sp. Villanueva 85 / 100

Imperio Merida 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Sp. Villanueva Imperio Merida

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick VIL Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Imperio Merida conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.40 goals per match.

Difficult form: Imperio Merida registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Sp. Villanueva found the back of the net in 31% of recent matches (35 games).

Scoring Trends

Sp. Villanueva VS -

0.13 Goals Scored 0

1.25 Goals Conceded 0

25% Over 1.5 0%

13% Over 2.5 0%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Villanovense	38	29	6	3	83:30	93
2	Sp. Villanueva	38	29	5	4	81:24	92
3	Arroyo	38	20	10	8	62:36	70
4	Jerez CF	38	18	10	10	61:32	64
5	Merida UD	38	15	13	10	48:32	58
6	Santa Amalia	38	15	11	12	55:49	56
7	Don Benito	38	16	8	14	48:47	56
8	Moralo	38	14	12	12	47:45	54
9	Miajadas	38	15	9	14	38:41	54
10	Sanvicenteno	38	13	12	13	47:39	51
11	Ciduad de Plasencia	38	14	7	17	41:47	49
12	Diter Zafra	38	13	10	15	45:50	49
13	UP Plasencia	38	11	14	13	39:48	47
14	CD Coria	38	12	11	15	42:52	47
15	Atletico San Jose Promesas	38	12	8	18	52:61	44
16	UD Badajoz	38	12	6	20	53:68	42
17	Valdelacalzada	38	10	9	19	38:52	39
18	CD Santa Marta	38	9	8	21	34:58	35
19	Olivenza CP	38	6	12	20	39:72	30
20	Imperio Merida	38	5	3	30	28:98	18