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Spaeri vs FC Gareji Sagarejo

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2025 Spaeri Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Samkharadze G.
28' Event
Basilashvili Z.
Assist: Maisuradze S.
32'
Kamladze I.

AI Match Summary

FC Gareji Sagarejo in this Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Gareji Sagarejo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Spaeri
28%
Draws
50%
FC Gareji Sagarejo
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: FC Gareji Sagarejo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • FC Gareji Sagarejo have won more games recently than Spaeri.
  • Model gives FC Gareji Sagarejo a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and FC Gareji Sagarejo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
Spaeri Clean Sheet 16%
FC Gareji Sagarejo Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spaeri FC Gareji Sagarejo
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 13
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 14, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Spaeri vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
1:2
Dec 10, 2025 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Spaeri
0:2
Oct 19, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Spaeri vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
1:3
Aug 17, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
FC Gareji Sagarejo vs Spaeri
5:1
May 11, 2024 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2
Spaeri vs FC Gareji Sagarejo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spaeri Compare

Top Goalscorer Basilashvili Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FC Gareji Sagarejo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spaeri 23 / 100
FC Gareji Sagarejo 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spaeri FC Gareji Sagarejo

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Spaeri's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: FC Gareji Sagarejo conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Spaeri remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Spaeri VS FC Gareji Sagarejo
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Telavi2
Meshakhte Tkibuli3
FC Gareji Sagarejo2
Spaeri3