Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Spaeri vs Samgurali

Georgia Georgia

Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga Spaeri Stadium, Tbilisi
Sat, Aug 22, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Spaeri host Samgurali in the Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Spaeri at 1.38 goals for, 1.25 against; Samgurali at 1.5 for, 1.38 against. Past meetings favor Samgurali slightly — 1-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 20, 2026, ending 0:1. Model xG sits at 1.38 vs 1.38, favoring Samgurali. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Spaeri
30%
Draws
34%
Samgurali
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spaeri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Samgurali come out ahead of Spaeri on wins alone.
  • Spaeri are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Spaeri Clean Sheet 17%
Samgurali Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spaeri Samgurali
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 9 14
Draws 10 7
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Spaeri vs Samgurali
0:1
May 17, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Samgurali vs Spaeri
0:0
Mar 16, 2026 Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga
Spaeri vs Samgurali
4:1
Jul 6, 2024 Club Friendly
Samgurali vs Spaeri
5:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spaeri 36 / 100
Samgurali 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spaeri Samgurali

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.25 goals.

Spaeri found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Samgurali's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.

Spaeri has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Spaeri VS Samgurali
1.38 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Spaeri

(Home)
25 Jul
Dinamo Tbilisi 2
1 : 5
Spaeri
20 Jul
Spaeri
0 : 1
Samgurali
17 Jul
Spaeri
2 : 3
Urartu
22 Jun
Torpedo Kutaisi
0 : 0
Spaeri
16 Jun
Dila Gori
3 : 1
Spaeri
Page 1 of 6

Samgurali

(Away)
26 Jul
WIT Georgia
2 : 3
Samgurali
20 Jul
Spaeri
0 : 1
Samgurali
24 Jun
Gagra
0 : 0
Samgurali
18 Jun
Dinamo Tbilisi
5 : 3
Samgurali
13 Jun
Samgurali
2 : 1
Torpedo Kutaisi
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Iberia 199919104527:1834
2FC Rustavi1995522:1832
3Dinamo Tbilisi1987431:2131
4Torpedo Kutaisi1976630:1927
5Dinamo Batumi1976628:3027
6Dila Gori1982921:1926
7Samgurali1974825:3225
8Spaeri1957725:2522
9Gagra1957718:2422
10Meshakhte Tkibuli19181013:3411
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga 2 2027 (Main)