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Spain U17 W vs Colombia U17 W

World World

World Cup Women U17 2025 Mohammed VI Football Academy (pitch 2), Salé
Spain U17 W Logo

Spain U17 W

4 - 0
FT
Colombia U17 W Logo

Colombia U17 W

Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Quer A.
28' Event
Chacon C.
Assist: Ferrera C.
45' Event
Chacon C.
Assist: Arufe L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-0, with Spain U17 W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Spain U17 W
30%
Draws
37%
Colombia U17 W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Colombia U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spain U17 W come out ahead of Colombia U17 W on wins alone.
  • Spain U17 W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Spain U17 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Spain U17 W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Spain U17 W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Spain U17 W Clean Sheet 20%
Colombia U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain U17 W Colombia U17 W
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 23 10
Draws 5 9
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 2.61 1.1
Goals Conceded 0.64 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 World Cup Women U17
Spain U17 W vs Colombia U17 W
4:0
Oct 22, 2024 World Cup Women U17
Colombia U17 W vs Spain U17 W
1:2
Oct 30, 2022 World Cup Women U17
Colombia U17 W vs Spain U17 W
0:1
Oct 12, 2022 World Cup Women U17
Spain U17 W vs Colombia U17 W
1:0
Nov 17, 2018 World Cup Women U17
Colombia U17 W vs Spain U17 W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Chacon C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Quer A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Colombia U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U17 W 85 / 100
Colombia U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain U17 W Colombia U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U17 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Spain U17 W scored in 82% of their last 33 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Spain U17 W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Colombia U17 W let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Spain U17 W VS Colombia U17 W
3.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain U17 W

(Home)
14 May
Germany U17 W
1 : 0
Spain U17 W
11 May
Poland U17 W
1 : 4
Spain U17 W
08 May
France U17 W
1 : 0
Spain U17 W
05 May
Spain U17 W
4 : 0
Finland U17 W
07 Mar
Portugal U17 W
0 : 0
Spain U17 W
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Colombia U17 W

(Away)
09 May
Venezuela U17 W
1 : 0
Colombia U17 W
03 May
Paraguay U17 W
0 : 3
Colombia U17 W
30 Apr
Colombia U17 W
3 : 0
Bolivia U17 W
28 Apr
Colombia U17 W
0 : 0
Chile U17 W
26 Apr
Argentina U17 W
1 : 1
Colombia U17 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U17 W 3 3 0 0 10:4 9
2 Brazil U17 W 3 1 1 1 7:5 4
3 Morocco U17 W 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Costa Rica U17 W 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U17 W 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Mexico U17 W 3 2 0 1 2:2 6
3 Netherlands U17 W 3 1 0 2 4:9 3
4 Cameroon U17 W 3 0 0 3 4:7 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U17 W 3 3 0 0 13:2 9
2 China U17 W 3 2 0 1 11:5 6
3 Ecuador U17 W 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
4 Norway U17 W 3 0 0 3 0:12 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canada U17 W 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 France U17 W 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Nigeria U17 W 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
4 Samoa U17 W 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U17 W 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Colombia U17 W 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
3 South Korea U17 W 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
4 Ivory Coast U17 W 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U17 W 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Paraguay U17 W 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
3 Zambia U17 W 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
4 New Zealand U17 W 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)