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Spain U17 W vs South Korea U17 W

World World

World Cup Women U17 2025 Mohammed VI Football Academy (pitch 2), Salé
Spain U17 W Logo

Spain U17 W

5 - 0
FT
South Korea U17 W Logo

South Korea U17 W

Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Chacon C.
Assist: Gomez C.
36' Event
Quer A.
Assist: Barrios C.
46'
Sub
Kim Han-ah In: Woo Seo-Yeon
Out: Kim Han-ah
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Spain U17 W in this World Cup Women U17 2025 tie, finishing 5-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Spain U17 W
15%
Draws
39%
South Korea U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Spain U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spain U17 W lately — more wins on the board than South Korea U17 W.
  • Win probability leans Spain U17 W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Spain U17 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Spain U17 W, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Spain U17 W here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 46.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Spain U17 W Clean Sheet 20%
South Korea U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain U17 W South Korea U17 W
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 27 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 2.68 1.7
Goals Conceded 0.63 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.66 0.84
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 22, 2025 World Cup Women U17
Spain U17 W vs South Korea U17 W
5:0
Oct 19, 2024 World Cup Women U17
Spain U17 W vs South Korea U17 W
5:0
Nov 14, 2018 World Cup Women U17
South Korea U17 W vs Spain U17 W
0:4
Sep 21, 2010 World Cup Women U17
South Korea U17 W vs Spain U17 W
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Chacon C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Quer A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.33

South Korea U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.76
Avg xA / game 0.47

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U17 W 85 / 100
South Korea U17 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain U17 W South Korea U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U17 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain U17 W found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (38 games).

South Korea U17 W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.25 goals.

Recent resilience: Spain U17 W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Spain U17 W VS South Korea U17 W
3.75 Goals Scored 1.43
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.57
88% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 57%
50% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain U17 W

(Home)
14 May
Germany U17 W
1 : 0
Spain U17 W
11 May
Poland U17 W
1 : 4
Spain U17 W
08 May
France U17 W
1 : 0
Spain U17 W
05 May
Spain U17 W
4 : 0
Finland U17 W
07 Mar
Portugal U17 W
0 : 0
Spain U17 W
Page 1 of 8

South Korea U17 W

(Away)
11 May
Japan U17 W
1 : 0
South Korea U17 W
08 May
North Korea U17 W
3 : 0
South Korea U17 W
05 May
Chinese Taipei U17 W
0 : 4
South Korea U17 W
02 May
South Korea U17 W
5 : 0
Philippines U17 W
25 Oct
Colombia U17 W
1 : 0
South Korea U17 W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U17 W 3 3 0 0 10:4 9
2 Brazil U17 W 3 1 1 1 7:5 4
3 Morocco U17 W 3 1 0 2 4:7 3
4 Costa Rica U17 W 3 0 1 2 2:7 1
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U17 W 3 3 0 0 9:1 9
2 Mexico U17 W 3 2 0 1 2:2 6
3 Netherlands U17 W 3 1 0 2 4:9 3
4 Cameroon U17 W 3 0 0 3 4:7 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USA U17 W 3 3 0 0 13:2 9
2 China U17 W 3 2 0 1 11:5 6
3 Ecuador U17 W 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
4 Norway U17 W 3 0 0 3 0:12 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Canada U17 W 3 3 0 0 12:2 9
2 France U17 W 3 2 0 1 6:4 6
3 Nigeria U17 W 3 1 0 2 5:5 3
4 Samoa U17 W 3 0 0 3 2:14 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain U17 W 3 3 0 0 12:0 9
2 Colombia U17 W 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
3 South Korea U17 W 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
4 Ivory Coast U17 W 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U17 W 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Paraguay U17 W 3 2 1 0 7:3 7
3 Zambia U17 W 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
4 New Zealand U17 W 3 0 0 3 1:11 0
Promotion - World Cup Women U17 2025 (Play Offs)