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Spain U19 W vs Italy U19 W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U19 Women 2025 Stadion Stali Stalowa Wola, Stalowa Wola
Tue, Jun 24, 2025
2 - 0
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Segura C. In: Agote D.
Out: Segura C.
46'
Sub
Gomez A. In: Libran C.
Out: Gomez A.
57'
Sub
Ferraresi E. In: Ventriglia R.
Out: Ferraresi E.

AI Match Summary

Spain U19 W in this Euro U19 Women 2025 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Spain U19 W
30%
Draws
19%
Italy U19 W
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Spain U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Spain U19 W have won more games recently than Italy U19 W.
  • Model gives Spain U19 W a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Spain U19 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Spain U19 W, who have won 5 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Spain U19 W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Spain U19 W Clean Sheet 20%
Italy U19 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain U19 W Italy U19 W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 26 11
Draws 3 10
Losses 3 9
Goals Scored 3.06 1.77
Goals Conceded 0.47 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 24, 2025 Euro U19 Women
Spain U19 W vs Italy U19 W
2:0
Jun 27, 2022 Euro U19 Women
Spain U19 W vs Italy U19 W
3:1
Sep 3, 2019 Friendly International Women
Spain U19 W vs Italy U19 W
5:0
Sep 1, 2019 Friendly International Women
Spain U19 W vs Italy U19 W
2:1
Apr 5, 2016 Euro U19 Women
Spain U19 W vs Italy U19 W
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Dorado I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agote D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Italy U19 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U19 W 85 / 100
Italy U19 W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain U19 W Italy U19 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U19 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain U19 W's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Recent resilience: Spain U19 W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Italy U19 W let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Spain U19 W VS Italy U19 W
3 Goals Scored 1.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 13%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain U19 W

(Home)
10 Jul
Germany U19 W
0 : 1
Spain U19 W
07 Jul
Spain U19 W
3 : 0
Sweden U19 W
04 Jul
Spain U19 W
2 : 1
Austria U19 W
01 Jul
Spain U19 W
4 : 0
Iceland U19 W
28 Jun
Switzerland U19 W
2 : 2
Spain U19 W
Page 1 of 7

Italy U19 W

(Away)
17 Apr
Sweden U19 W
0 : 0
Italy U19 W
14 Apr
Italy U19 W
1 : 5
Netherlands U19 W
11 Apr
Italy U19 W
2 : 0
Ukraine U19 W
07 Mar
Italy U19 W
0 : 0
Poland U19 W
06 Mar
Italy U19 W
0 : 1
Germany U19 W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
France U19 W 4
Portugal U19 W 3
Spain U19 W 2
Italy U19 W 0
Final
France U19 W 0
Spain U19 W 4