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Spain U19 W vs Sweden U19 W

Europe Europe

Euro U19 Women 2026 FF BH Football Training Centre, Zenica
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Cerrato A.
Assist: Dominguez R.
38'
Gurtubay E.
46'
Sub
Molin N. In: Sjostrom F.
Out: Molin N.

AI Match Summary

Spain U19 W in this Euro U19 Women 2026 tie, finishing 3-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Spain U19 W
20%
Draws
28%
Sweden U19 W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spain U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Spain U19 W lately — more wins on the board than Sweden U19 W.
  • Spain U19 W are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Spain U19 W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Spain U19 W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Spain U19 W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 20.8%
Spain U19 W Clean Sheet 68%
Sweden U19 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain U19 W Sweden U19 W
Matches Played 33 31
Wins 27 13
Draws 2 3
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 2.94 1.16
Goals Conceded 0.42 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2026 Euro U19 Women
Spain U19 W vs Sweden U19 W
3:0
Oct 28, 2023 Euro U19 Women
Spain U19 W vs Sweden U19 W
3:0
Feb 16, 2023 Friendly International Women
Sweden U19 W vs Spain U19 W
0:3
Jul 6, 2022 Euro U19 Women
Spain U19 W vs Sweden U19 W
1:0
Apr 8, 2020 Euro U19 Women
Spain U19 W vs Sweden U19 W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cerrato A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dominguez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Sweden U19 W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U19 W 59 / 100
Sweden U19 W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain U19 W Sweden U19 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spain U19 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain U19 W's goal record stands at 91% scoring rate across 33 recent games.

Spain U19 W went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sweden U19 W has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Spain U19 W VS Sweden U19 W
2.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain U19 W

(Home)
10 Jul
Germany U19 W
0 : 1
Spain U19 W
07 Jul
Spain U19 W
3 : 0
Sweden U19 W
04 Jul
Spain U19 W
2 : 1
Austria U19 W
01 Jul
Spain U19 W
4 : 0
Iceland U19 W
28 Jun
Switzerland U19 W
2 : 2
Spain U19 W
Page 1 of 7

Sweden U19 W

(Away)
07 Jul
Spain U19 W
3 : 0
Sweden U19 W
03 Jul
Germany U19 W
2 : 0
Sweden U19 W
30 Jun
Bosnia & Herzegovina U19 W
0 : 5
Sweden U19 W
27 Jun
Sweden U19 W
1 : 0
Poland U19 W
17 Apr
Sweden U19 W
0 : 0
Italy U19 W
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Germany U19 W 1
Austria U19 W 0
Spain U19 W 3
Sweden U19 W 0
Final
Germany U19 W 0
Spain U19 W 1