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Spain U20 vs Argentina U20

World World

COTIF Tournament 2016
Thu, Aug 4, 2016
3 - 1
08:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Martinez L.
80' Event
Gutierrez J.
86' Event
Rodriguez J.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with Spain U20 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Spain U20
15%
Draws
48%
Argentina U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Argentina U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Spain U20 come out ahead of Argentina U20 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Argentina U20's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Spain U20 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Spain U20, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 72.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Spain U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Argentina U20 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Spain U20 Argentina U20
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 22 21
Draws 2 5
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 2.03 1.79
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.91
Expected Goals (xG) 0.62 2.03
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 2, 2019 COTIF Tournament
Argentina U20 vs Spain U20
1:0
Aug 4, 2016 COTIF Tournament
Spain U20 vs Argentina U20
3:1
Aug 21, 2013 Friendly International
Spain U20 vs Argentina U20
1:0
Aug 23, 2012 Friendly International
Spain U20 vs Argentina U20
0:2
Aug 21, 2012 Friendly International
Spain U20 vs Argentina U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Spain U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Gutierrez J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.31

Argentina U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.85
Avg xA / game 1.13

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Spain U20 14 / 100
Argentina U20 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Spain U20 Argentina U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Argentina U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Spain U20 scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Solid form: Spain U20 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Argentina U20 has conceded goals in 55% of their last 33 outings.

Scoring Trends

Spain U20 VS Argentina U20
0.86 Goals Scored 2.63
1.43 Goals Conceded 0.38
57% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Spain U20

(Home)
11 Oct
Spain U20
2 : 3
Colombia U20
07 Oct
Ukraine U20
0 : 1
Spain U20
04 Oct
Spain U20
1 : 0
Brazil U20
01 Oct
Spain U20
2 : 2
Mexico U20
28 Sept
Morocco U20
2 : 0
Spain U20
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Argentina U20

(Away)
27 Mar
Argentina U20
0 : 3
USA U20
26 Nov
Argentina U20
4 : 0
Uruguay U18
19 Oct
Argentina U20
0 : 2
Morocco U20
15 Oct
Argentina U20
1 : 0
Colombia U20
11 Oct
Mexico U20
0 : 2
Argentina U20
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Spain U20 2
Qatar U20 0
Argentina U20 2
Venezuela U20 1
Final
Spain U20 3
Argentina U20 1